**Michoacán’s 2027 gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented more than a year before the vote, with no candidate consolidating a clear edge.** Morena maintains the strongest party identification in recent surveys, yet its internal contest among figures such as Carlos Torres Piña, Gladyz Butanda Macías, Raúl Morón Orozco, and Fabiola Alanís Sámano is competitive, with Torres Piña frequently topping preference measurements inside the party. Grecia Quiroz, positioned as an independent or Movimiento Ciudadano option, consistently runs close in head-to-head scenarios, preventing any single name from pulling decisively ahead. Opposition parties including PAN and PRI register lower single-digit support. The wide dispersion of implied probabilities reflects ongoing candidate registration, limited name recognition for many listed contenders, and the absence of finalized nominations or major campaign turning points that would reorder trader assessments ahead of the 2027 ballot.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGladyz Butanda Macías 24.1%
Grecia Quiroz 21.3%
Carlos Torres Piña 19.7%
Fabiola Alanís Sámano 7%
$40,961 Vol.
$40,961 Vol.
Gladyz Butanda Macías
24%
Grecia Quiroz
21%
Carlos Torres Piña
20%
Fabiola Alanís Sámano
7%
Raúl Morón Orozco
4%
Carlos Herrera Tello
3%
Netzahualcóyotl Alanís Luna
1%
Alfonso Martínez Alcázar
<1%
Guillermo Valencia Reyes
<1%
Esteban González Nava
<1%
Germán Martínez Cázares
<1%
Gabriela Molina Aguilar
<1%
Ana Lilia Guillén Quiroz
<1%
Netzahualcóyotl Alarcón Pedraza
<1%
Daniela de los Santos
<1%
Adriana Hernández Íñiguez
<1%
Edna Martínez Nambo
<1%
Víctor Manuel Manríquez
<1%
Leinad Abigail Rojas Elenes
<1%
Marko Cortés Mendoza
<1%
Celeste Ascencio Ortega
<1%
Ernesto Núñez Aguilar
<1%
Gladyz Butanda Macías 24.1%
Grecia Quiroz 21.3%
Carlos Torres Piña 19.7%
Fabiola Alanís Sámano 7%
$40,961 Vol.
$40,961 Vol.
Gladyz Butanda Macías
24%
Grecia Quiroz
21%
Carlos Torres Piña
20%
Fabiola Alanís Sámano
7%
Raúl Morón Orozco
4%
Carlos Herrera Tello
3%
Netzahualcóyotl Alanís Luna
1%
Alfonso Martínez Alcázar
<1%
Guillermo Valencia Reyes
<1%
Esteban González Nava
<1%
Germán Martínez Cázares
<1%
Gabriela Molina Aguilar
<1%
Ana Lilia Guillén Quiroz
<1%
Netzahualcóyotl Alarcón Pedraza
<1%
Daniela de los Santos
<1%
Adriana Hernández Íñiguez
<1%
Edna Martínez Nambo
<1%
Víctor Manuel Manríquez
<1%
Leinad Abigail Rojas Elenes
<1%
Marko Cortés Mendoza
<1%
Celeste Ascencio Ortega
<1%
Ernesto Núñez Aguilar
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Michoacán’s 2027 gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented more than a year before the vote, with no candidate consolidating a clear edge.** Morena maintains the strongest party identification in recent surveys, yet its internal contest among figures such as Carlos Torres Piña, Gladyz Butanda Macías, Raúl Morón Orozco, and Fabiola Alanís Sámano is competitive, with Torres Piña frequently topping preference measurements inside the party. Grecia Quiroz, positioned as an independent or Movimiento Ciudadano option, consistently runs close in head-to-head scenarios, preventing any single name from pulling decisively ahead. Opposition parties including PAN and PRI register lower single-digit support. The wide dispersion of implied probabilities reflects ongoing candidate registration, limited name recognition for many listed contenders, and the absence of finalized nominations or major campaign turning points that would reorder trader assessments ahead of the 2027 ballot.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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