The fragmented Maranhão Senate race for the two seats up in the October 4 election features high undecided shares (often above 25%) and technical ties among multiple contenders in recent surveys. Weverton Rocha (PDT) benefits from incumbency and strong positioning in second-vote scenarios across Quaest and other polls, while Lahesio Bonfim (Novo) and André Fufuca (PP) draw support from distinct regional and party bases. Roseana Sarney (MDB) leads first-preference tallies but trails in explicit second-place projections. Alliances tied to the gubernatorial contest, low name recognition for most candidates, and the open structure of dual voting sustain the tight consensus reflected in trader pricing for second place, with limited movement since mid-August polling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMaranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place
Maranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place
Weverton Rocha 42%
Lahesio Bonfim 24.3%
Fufuca 21%
Roseana Sarney 15%
$33,362 Vol.
$33,362 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Weverton Rocha
42%
Lahesio Bonfim
24%
Fufuca
21%
Roseana Sarney
15%
Eliziane Gama
6%
Wilson Leite
1%
Raimundo Moreira
1%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
<1%
Simplício Araújo
<1%
Weverton Rocha 42%
Lahesio Bonfim 24.3%
Fufuca 21%
Roseana Sarney 15%
$33,362 Vol.
$33,362 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Weverton Rocha
$12,459 Vol.
42%
Lahesio Bonfim
$2,166 Vol.
24%
Fufuca
$5,237 Vol.
21%
Roseana Sarney
$8,166 Vol.
15%
Eliziane Gama
$1,439 Vol.
6%
Wilson Leite
$580 Vol.
1%
Raimundo Moreira
$569 Vol.
1%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
$888 Vol.
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
$635 Vol.
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
$516 Vol.
<1%
Simplício Araújo
$706 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented Maranhão Senate race for the two seats up in the October 4 election features high undecided shares (often above 25%) and technical ties among multiple contenders in recent surveys. Weverton Rocha (PDT) benefits from incumbency and strong positioning in second-vote scenarios across Quaest and other polls, while Lahesio Bonfim (Novo) and André Fufuca (PP) draw support from distinct regional and party bases. Roseana Sarney (MDB) leads first-preference tallies but trails in explicit second-place projections. Alliances tied to the gubernatorial contest, low name recognition for most candidates, and the open structure of dual voting sustain the tight consensus reflected in trader pricing for second place, with limited movement since mid-August polling.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
Volume
$33,362End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented Maranhão Senate race for the two seats up in the October 4 election features high undecided shares (often above 25%) and technical ties among multiple contenders in recent surveys. Weverton Rocha (PDT) benefits from incumbency and strong positioning in second-vote scenarios across Quaest and other polls, while Lahesio Bonfim (Novo) and André Fufuca (PP) draw support from distinct regional and party bases. Roseana Sarney (MDB) leads first-preference tallies but trails in explicit second-place projections. Alliances tied to the gubernatorial contest, low name recognition for most candidates, and the open structure of dual voting sustain the tight consensus reflected in trader pricing for second place, with limited movement since mid-August polling.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$33,362End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The fragmented Maranhão Senate race for the two seats up in the October 4 election features high undecided shares (often above 25%) and technical ties among multiple contenders in recent surveys. Weverton Rocha (PDT) benefits from incumbency and strong positioning in second-vote scenarios across Quaest and other polls, while Lahesio Bonfim (Novo) and André Fufuca (PP) draw support from distinct regional and party bases. Roseana Sarney (MDB) leads first-preference tallies but trails in explicit second-place projections. Alliances tied to the gubernatorial contest, low name recognition for most candidates, and the open structure of dual voting sustain the tight consensus reflected in trader pricing for second place, with limited movement since mid-August polling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions