Recent IMD guidance and ensemble models indicate a minimum near 26°C for Lucknow on September 6 amid monsoon conditions, with partly to generally cloudy skies, scattered thundershowers, and light easterly winds. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while any heavier rainfall episodes could further moderate overnight lows through increased latent heat and reduced temperature gradients. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 24–27°C because small shifts in storm timing or localized clearing could alter the low by 1–2°C; historical September minima average near 25°C under similar regimes, underscoring the narrow uncertainty band traders are pricing. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will refine the exact threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on September 6?
21°C or below 69%
26°C 52%
23°C 50%
22°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
21°C or below
69%
22°C
49%
23°C
50%
24°C
27%
25°C
26%
26°C
33%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
21°C or below 69%
26°C 52%
23°C 50%
22°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
69%
22°C
$0 Vol.
49%
23°C
$0 Vol.
50%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$10 Vol.
26%
26°C
$18 Vol.
33%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$53 Vol.
1%
30°C
$45 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$45 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent IMD guidance and ensemble models indicate a minimum near 26°C for Lucknow on September 6 amid monsoon conditions, with partly to generally cloudy skies, scattered thundershowers, and light easterly winds. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while any heavier rainfall episodes could further moderate overnight lows through increased latent heat and reduced temperature gradients. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 24–27°C because small shifts in storm timing or localized clearing could alter the low by 1–2°C; historical September minima average near 25°C under similar regimes, underscoring the narrow uncertainty band traders are pricing. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$217End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent IMD guidance and ensemble models indicate a minimum near 26°C for Lucknow on September 6 amid monsoon conditions, with partly to generally cloudy skies, scattered thundershowers, and light easterly winds. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while any heavier rainfall episodes could further moderate overnight lows through increased latent heat and reduced temperature gradients. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 24–27°C because small shifts in storm timing or localized clearing could alter the low by 1–2°C; historical September minima average near 25°C under similar regimes, underscoring the narrow uncertainty band traders are pricing. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$217End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent IMD guidance and ensemble models indicate a minimum near 26°C for Lucknow on September 6 amid monsoon conditions, with partly to generally cloudy skies, scattered thundershowers, and light easterly winds. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while any heavier rainfall episodes could further moderate overnight lows through increased latent heat and reduced temperature gradients. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 24–27°C because small shifts in storm timing or localized clearing could alter the low by 1–2°C; historical September minima average near 25°C under similar regimes, underscoring the narrow uncertainty band traders are pricing. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will refine the exact threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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