Forecast models from sources like the Global Forecast System indicate Karachi's overnight minimum on September 5 will likely settle near 26–27°C amid persistent west-to-southwest winds of 15–20 mph, high humidity above 70%, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. These conditions, typical for early September in the region following the monsoon transition, keep nighttime temperatures elevated compared to drier winter baselines. Traders appear to weigh slight model spreads—some runs showing 80°F (26.7°C) lows versus others near 81°F (27.2°C)—against historical September averages of 25–28°C, with limited recent shifts in steering patterns or moisture. Updated observations through the evening will refine resolution probabilities for these tightly contested outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on September 5?
27°C 99.5%
21°C or below 20%
25°C 20%
22°C 18%
$496 Vol.
$496 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
27°C 99.5%
21°C or below 20%
25°C 20%
22°C 18%
$496 Vol.
$496 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
21°C or below
$12 Vol.
No
22°C
$12 Vol.
No
23°C
$22 Vol.
No
24°C
$12 Vol.
No
25°C
$116 Vol.
No
26°C
$92 Vol.
No
27°C
$85 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$25 Vol.
No
29°C
$40 Vol.
No
30°C
$40 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$40 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the Global Forecast System indicate Karachi's overnight minimum on September 5 will likely settle near 26–27°C amid persistent west-to-southwest winds of 15–20 mph, high humidity above 70%, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. These conditions, typical for early September in the region following the monsoon transition, keep nighttime temperatures elevated compared to drier winter baselines. Traders appear to weigh slight model spreads—some runs showing 80°F (26.7°C) lows versus others near 81°F (27.2°C)—against historical September averages of 25–28°C, with limited recent shifts in steering patterns or moisture. Updated observations through the evening will refine resolution probabilities for these tightly contested outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$496End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the Global Forecast System indicate Karachi's overnight minimum on September 5 will likely settle near 26–27°C amid persistent west-to-southwest winds of 15–20 mph, high humidity above 70%, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. These conditions, typical for early September in the region following the monsoon transition, keep nighttime temperatures elevated compared to drier winter baselines. Traders appear to weigh slight model spreads—some runs showing 80°F (26.7°C) lows versus others near 81°F (27.2°C)—against historical September averages of 25–28°C, with limited recent shifts in steering patterns or moisture. Updated observations through the evening will refine resolution probabilities for these tightly contested outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$496End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Forecast models from sources like the Global Forecast System indicate Karachi's overnight minimum on September 5 will likely settle near 26–27°C amid persistent west-to-southwest winds of 15–20 mph, high humidity above 70%, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. These conditions, typical for early September in the region following the monsoon transition, keep nighttime temperatures elevated compared to drier winter baselines. Traders appear to weigh slight model spreads—some runs showing 80°F (26.7°C) lows versus others near 81°F (27.2°C)—against historical September averages of 25–28°C, with limited recent shifts in steering patterns or moisture. Updated observations through the evening will refine resolution probabilities for these tightly contested outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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