Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Karachi's overnight minimum on September 7 will likely settle near 26–27°C, driven by persistent southwest monsoon flow and moderate cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and light-to-moderate winds suppress stronger nocturnal drops, while urban heat retention keeps readings above the long-term September average low of roughly 26°C. Model consensus shows little support for extremes below 24°C or above 29°C, though slight variations in exact station timing or localized showers could shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric conditions against residual forecast uncertainty as the 24-hour window approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on September 7?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on September 7?
21°C or below 60%
31°C or higher 60%
27°C 50%
24°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
21°C or below
60%
22°C
15%
23°C
6%
24°C
49%
25°C
23%
26°C
27%
27°C
42%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
14%
31°C or higher
60%
21°C or below 60%
31°C or higher 60%
27°C 50%
24°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
60%
22°C
$0 Vol.
15%
23°C
$0 Vol.
6%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
23%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$6 Vol.
42%
28°C
$0 Vol.
49%
29°C
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C
$0 Vol.
14%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Karachi's overnight minimum on September 7 will likely settle near 26–27°C, driven by persistent southwest monsoon flow and moderate cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and light-to-moderate winds suppress stronger nocturnal drops, while urban heat retention keeps readings above the long-term September average low of roughly 26°C. Model consensus shows little support for extremes below 24°C or above 29°C, though slight variations in exact station timing or localized showers could shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric conditions against residual forecast uncertainty as the 24-hour window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$6End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Karachi's overnight minimum on September 7 will likely settle near 26–27°C, driven by persistent southwest monsoon flow and moderate cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and light-to-moderate winds suppress stronger nocturnal drops, while urban heat retention keeps readings above the long-term September average low of roughly 26°C. Model consensus shows little support for extremes below 24°C or above 29°C, though slight variations in exact station timing or localized showers could shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric conditions against residual forecast uncertainty as the 24-hour window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Karachi's overnight minimum on September 7 will likely settle near 26–27°C, driven by persistent southwest monsoon flow and moderate cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and light-to-moderate winds suppress stronger nocturnal drops, while urban heat retention keeps readings above the long-term September average low of roughly 26°C. Model consensus shows little support for extremes below 24°C or above 29°C, though slight variations in exact station timing or localized showers could shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric conditions against residual forecast uncertainty as the 24-hour window approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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