Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a daytime high in Karachi on September 7 near 31–32°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds of 15–20 mph and humidity of 60–80%. This aligns with the market's tight leading probabilities for 32°C and 31°C, reflecting model consensus on limited monsoon moisture due to ongoing El Niño influences suppressing rainfall and cloud buildup. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover that could trim peak solar heating by 1–2°C and the moderating effect of Arabian Sea breezes, which historically keep September maxima close to the 31°C seasonal average. Any unexpected clearer afternoon window or brief shower could shift the exact high by a degree. Updated model runs and official Pakistan Meteorological Department observations tomorrow will provide the decisive data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on September 7?
32°C 41%
31°C 33%
33°C 15%
30°C 6%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
33%
32°C
41%
33°C
15%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 41%
31°C 33%
33°C 15%
30°C 6%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
33%
32°C
41%
33°C
15%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a daytime high in Karachi on September 7 near 31–32°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds of 15–20 mph and humidity of 60–80%. This aligns with the market's tight leading probabilities for 32°C and 31°C, reflecting model consensus on limited monsoon moisture due to ongoing El Niño influences suppressing rainfall and cloud buildup. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover that could trim peak solar heating by 1–2°C and the moderating effect of Arabian Sea breezes, which historically keep September maxima close to the 31°C seasonal average. Any unexpected clearer afternoon window or brief shower could shift the exact high by a degree. Updated model runs and official Pakistan Meteorological Department observations tomorrow will provide the decisive data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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