**Forecast model consensus and real-time observations position 26°C as the leading outcome for Karachi's lowest temperature on September 6, 2026.** Multiple meteorological sources, including GFS-based guidance and station reports from Karachi Airport, show daytime highs near 31°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered light precipitation, followed by overnight cooling to 26–27°C amid 70–90% humidity, dew points around 23–24°C, and consistent westerly winds of 5–7 m/s. These conditions reflect typical late-monsoon September climatology, where average daily lows hover near 26°C with limited diurnal range due to moisture retention. Recent hourly data confirm temperatures holding above 26°C through the evening, supporting the market-implied 74% probability for 26°C while allowing modest room for 25°C if clearer skies enhance radiative cooling overnight. No major model divergences or unusual atmospheric shifts have emerged to alter this outlook.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on September 6?
26°C 98%
23°C 49%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
$1,358 Vol.
$1,358 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
47%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
26%
26°C
74%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 98%
23°C 49%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
$1,358 Vol.
$1,358 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
21°C or below
$60 Vol.
1%
22°C
$5 Vol.
47%
23°C
$5 Vol.
49%
24°C
$5 Vol.
49%
25°C
$38 Vol.
26%
26°C
$238 Vol.
74%
27°C
$806 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$50 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model consensus and real-time observations position 26°C as the leading outcome for Karachi's lowest temperature on September 6, 2026.** Multiple meteorological sources, including GFS-based guidance and station reports from Karachi Airport, show daytime highs near 31°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered light precipitation, followed by overnight cooling to 26–27°C amid 70–90% humidity, dew points around 23–24°C, and consistent westerly winds of 5–7 m/s. These conditions reflect typical late-monsoon September climatology, where average daily lows hover near 26°C with limited diurnal range due to moisture retention. Recent hourly data confirm temperatures holding above 26°C through the evening, supporting the market-implied 74% probability for 26°C while allowing modest room for 25°C if clearer skies enhance radiative cooling overnight. No major model divergences or unusual atmospheric shifts have emerged to alter this outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,358End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model consensus and real-time observations position 26°C as the leading outcome for Karachi's lowest temperature on September 6, 2026.** Multiple meteorological sources, including GFS-based guidance and station reports from Karachi Airport, show daytime highs near 31°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered light precipitation, followed by overnight cooling to 26–27°C amid 70–90% humidity, dew points around 23–24°C, and consistent westerly winds of 5–7 m/s. These conditions reflect typical late-monsoon September climatology, where average daily lows hover near 26°C with limited diurnal range due to moisture retention. Recent hourly data confirm temperatures holding above 26°C through the evening, supporting the market-implied 74% probability for 26°C while allowing modest room for 25°C if clearer skies enhance radiative cooling overnight. No major model divergences or unusual atmospheric shifts have emerged to alter this outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,358End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast model consensus and real-time observations position 26°C as the leading outcome for Karachi's lowest temperature on September 6, 2026.** Multiple meteorological sources, including GFS-based guidance and station reports from Karachi Airport, show daytime highs near 31°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered light precipitation, followed by overnight cooling to 26–27°C amid 70–90% humidity, dew points around 23–24°C, and consistent westerly winds of 5–7 m/s. These conditions reflect typical late-monsoon September climatology, where average daily lows hover near 26°C with limited diurnal range due to moisture retention. Recent hourly data confirm temperatures holding above 26°C through the evening, supporting the market-implied 74% probability for 26°C while allowing modest room for 25°C if clearer skies enhance radiative cooling overnight. No major model divergences or unusual atmospheric shifts have emerged to alter this outlook.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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