**Forecast models from sources like Yr.no, WeatherBug, and the Met Office indicate a minimum temperature for Jeddah on September 6 likely between 28–32°C, creating tight market-implied odds around the 25–35°C thresholds.** High humidity near 50–70% and light northwest winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling over the Red Sea coast, while partly cloudy skies and typical early-September heat retention keep overnight lows elevated compared to inland areas. Recent stable conditions with no incoming weather systems or significant moisture influx support this range, consistent with climatological baselines of 29–31°C minima. Traders appear split on exact cooling rates, with upcoming model runs and local observations poised to refine the consensus before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jeddah on September 6?
30°C 52%
25°C or below 50%
26°C 50%
27°C 50%
25°C or below
50%
26°C
50%
27°C
50%
28°C
26%
29°C
27%
30°C
36%
31°C
32%
32°C
50%
33°C
50%
34°C
50%
35°C or higher
49%
30°C 52%
25°C or below 50%
26°C 50%
27°C 50%
25°C or below
50%
26°C
50%
27°C
50%
28°C
26%
29°C
27%
30°C
36%
31°C
32%
32°C
50%
33°C
50%
34°C
50%
35°C or higher
49%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like Yr.no, WeatherBug, and the Met Office indicate a minimum temperature for Jeddah on September 6 likely between 28–32°C, creating tight market-implied odds around the 25–35°C thresholds.** High humidity near 50–70% and light northwest winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling over the Red Sea coast, while partly cloudy skies and typical early-September heat retention keep overnight lows elevated compared to inland areas. Recent stable conditions with no incoming weather systems or significant moisture influx support this range, consistent with climatological baselines of 29–31°C minima. Traders appear split on exact cooling rates, with upcoming model runs and local observations poised to refine the consensus before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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