**Trader consensus strongly favors 31°C as the lowest temperature in Jeddah on September 6, 2026, at 92.5% implied probability.** Current forecasts from multiple sources, including airport observations and international models, show overnight minima holding near 30–31°C amid typical late-summer conditions: high humidity (often 60–90%), light northwest winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. Historical September averages place lows around 28–29°C, but 2026 data indicate persistently warmer nights consistent with regional heat and dew points near 24–26°C. The market reflects this evidence-based stability, as no significant cooling mechanisms—such as stronger onshore flow or unusual cloud cover—are present in official guidance. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted shift, like enhanced northerly winds or model revisions showing greater overnight drop, though current consensus across agencies makes sub-29°C outcomes improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jeddah on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Jeddah on September 6?
31°C 97%
28°C 2%
30°C 2%
25°C or below <1%
$888 Vol.
$888 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
-
30°C
2%
31°C
93%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 97%
28°C 2%
30°C 2%
25°C or below <1%
$888 Vol.
$888 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
25°C or below
$40 Vol.
1%
26°C
$40 Vol.
1%
27°C
$40 Vol.
1%
28°C
$72 Vol.
2%
29°C
$78 Vol.
-
30°C
$199 Vol.
2%
31°C
$295 Vol.
93%
32°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$20 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 31°C as the lowest temperature in Jeddah on September 6, 2026, at 92.5% implied probability.** Current forecasts from multiple sources, including airport observations and international models, show overnight minima holding near 30–31°C amid typical late-summer conditions: high humidity (often 60–90%), light northwest winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. Historical September averages place lows around 28–29°C, but 2026 data indicate persistently warmer nights consistent with regional heat and dew points near 24–26°C. The market reflects this evidence-based stability, as no significant cooling mechanisms—such as stronger onshore flow or unusual cloud cover—are present in official guidance. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted shift, like enhanced northerly winds or model revisions showing greater overnight drop, though current consensus across agencies makes sub-29°C outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$888End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 31°C as the lowest temperature in Jeddah on September 6, 2026, at 92.5% implied probability.** Current forecasts from multiple sources, including airport observations and international models, show overnight minima holding near 30–31°C amid typical late-summer conditions: high humidity (often 60–90%), light northwest winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. Historical September averages place lows around 28–29°C, but 2026 data indicate persistently warmer nights consistent with regional heat and dew points near 24–26°C. The market reflects this evidence-based stability, as no significant cooling mechanisms—such as stronger onshore flow or unusual cloud cover—are present in official guidance. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted shift, like enhanced northerly winds or model revisions showing greater overnight drop, though current consensus across agencies makes sub-29°C outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$888End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors 31°C as the lowest temperature in Jeddah on September 6, 2026, at 92.5% implied probability.** Current forecasts from multiple sources, including airport observations and international models, show overnight minima holding near 30–31°C amid typical late-summer conditions: high humidity (often 60–90%), light northwest winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. Historical September averages place lows around 28–29°C, but 2026 data indicate persistently warmer nights consistent with regional heat and dew points near 24–26°C. The market reflects this evidence-based stability, as no significant cooling mechanisms—such as stronger onshore flow or unusual cloud cover—are present in official guidance. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted shift, like enhanced northerly winds or model revisions showing greater overnight drop, though current consensus across agencies makes sub-29°C outcomes improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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