**Current forecasts for Jeddah on September 5, 2026, point to an overnight low near 30°C, aligning with the market's strong 88% implied probability for that outcome.** Late-summer conditions along the Red Sea coast feature persistently high humidity, light northerly winds, and minimal cloud cover that limit radiational cooling after sunset. Official model guidance shows temperatures holding in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius through the night, consistent with September climatology where average minima range from 27–29°C. No significant weather systems or cooler air intrusions are expected to alter this pattern before resolution. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric factors heavily, with lower-probability thresholds like 25°C or below reflecting the low likelihood of atypical cooling under current sea-surface temperatures and regional pressure gradients.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jeddah on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Jeddah on September 5?
30°C 99%
25°C or below 20%
27°C 20%
29°C 20%
$1,250 Vol.
$1,250 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
30°C 99%
25°C or below 20%
27°C 20%
29°C 20%
$1,250 Vol.
$1,250 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
25°C or below
$12 Vol.
No
26°C
$12 Vol.
No
27°C
$32 Vol.
No
28°C
$85 Vol.
No
29°C
$43 Vol.
No
30°C
$610 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$276 Vol.
No
32°C
$75 Vol.
No
33°C
$35 Vol.
No
34°C
$35 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$35 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Jeddah on September 5, 2026, point to an overnight low near 30°C, aligning with the market's strong 88% implied probability for that outcome.** Late-summer conditions along the Red Sea coast feature persistently high humidity, light northerly winds, and minimal cloud cover that limit radiational cooling after sunset. Official model guidance shows temperatures holding in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius through the night, consistent with September climatology where average minima range from 27–29°C. No significant weather systems or cooler air intrusions are expected to alter this pattern before resolution. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric factors heavily, with lower-probability thresholds like 25°C or below reflecting the low likelihood of atypical cooling under current sea-surface temperatures and regional pressure gradients.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,250End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Jeddah on September 5, 2026, point to an overnight low near 30°C, aligning with the market's strong 88% implied probability for that outcome.** Late-summer conditions along the Red Sea coast feature persistently high humidity, light northerly winds, and minimal cloud cover that limit radiational cooling after sunset. Official model guidance shows temperatures holding in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius through the night, consistent with September climatology where average minima range from 27–29°C. No significant weather systems or cooler air intrusions are expected to alter this pattern before resolution. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric factors heavily, with lower-probability thresholds like 25°C or below reflecting the low likelihood of atypical cooling under current sea-surface temperatures and regional pressure gradients.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,250End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Current forecasts for Jeddah on September 5, 2026, point to an overnight low near 30°C, aligning with the market's strong 88% implied probability for that outcome.** Late-summer conditions along the Red Sea coast feature persistently high humidity, light northerly winds, and minimal cloud cover that limit radiational cooling after sunset. Official model guidance shows temperatures holding in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius through the night, consistent with September climatology where average minima range from 27–29°C. No significant weather systems or cooler air intrusions are expected to alter this pattern before resolution. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric factors heavily, with lower-probability thresholds like 25°C or below reflecting the low likelihood of atypical cooling under current sea-surface temperatures and regional pressure gradients.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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