Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models point to an overnight low near 25°C in Guangzhou on September 6, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and a moist tropical airmass limiting radiational cooling. Northerly winds and high humidity (around 80-90%) further moderate temperature drops, consistent with historical September averages of 24.8°C but tempered by current wet conditions that reduce the chance of sharper cooling to 23°C or below. Trader consensus reflected in the 61.5% implied probability for 25°C incorporates these stable signals ahead of final observations, while lower probabilities for 22-24°C account for potential model shifts or localized clearing. Updated guidance from official agencies will refine resolution thresholds before the market settles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 6?
23°C 83%
22°C 48%
21°C 47%
24°C 37%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
20°C or below
16%
21°C
47%
22°C
48%
23°C
83%
24°C
37%
25°C
63%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 83%
22°C 48%
21°C 47%
24°C 37%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
16%
21°C
$0 Vol.
47%
22°C
$0 Vol.
48%
23°C
$67 Vol.
83%
24°C
$1 Vol.
37%
25°C
$157 Vol.
63%
26°C
$614 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$50 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models point to an overnight low near 25°C in Guangzhou on September 6, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and a moist tropical airmass limiting radiational cooling. Northerly winds and high humidity (around 80-90%) further moderate temperature drops, consistent with historical September averages of 24.8°C but tempered by current wet conditions that reduce the chance of sharper cooling to 23°C or below. Trader consensus reflected in the 61.5% implied probability for 25°C incorporates these stable signals ahead of final observations, while lower probabilities for 22-24°C account for potential model shifts or localized clearing. Updated guidance from official agencies will refine resolution thresholds before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$876End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models point to an overnight low near 25°C in Guangzhou on September 6, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and a moist tropical airmass limiting radiational cooling. Northerly winds and high humidity (around 80-90%) further moderate temperature drops, consistent with historical September averages of 24.8°C but tempered by current wet conditions that reduce the chance of sharper cooling to 23°C or below. Trader consensus reflected in the 61.5% implied probability for 25°C incorporates these stable signals ahead of final observations, while lower probabilities for 22-24°C account for potential model shifts or localized clearing. Updated guidance from official agencies will refine resolution thresholds before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$876End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models point to an overnight low near 25°C in Guangzhou on September 6, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and a moist tropical airmass limiting radiational cooling. Northerly winds and high humidity (around 80-90%) further moderate temperature drops, consistent with historical September averages of 24.8°C but tempered by current wet conditions that reduce the chance of sharper cooling to 23°C or below. Trader consensus reflected in the 61.5% implied probability for 25°C incorporates these stable signals ahead of final observations, while lower probabilities for 22-24°C account for potential model shifts or localized clearing. Updated guidance from official agencies will refine resolution thresholds before the market settles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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