Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Guangzhou's overnight low on September 5 will hover near 25–26°C amid scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 80–90%, and light northeasterly winds under 10 km/h. Persistent cloud cover and moist tropical air limit radiational cooling, keeping minimums from dropping to the long-term September 5 average of 24.9°C. Slight differences between 25°C and 26°C hinge on the precise timing of rainfall and any brief clear spells that could enhance surface heat loss. Traders weigh these variables against recent observations showing similar conditions yielding lows of 24–25°C, with model consensus supporting the tight market spread between the top two outcomes. Updated short-range guidance later today could refine the exact threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 5?
23°C 88%
22°C 5%
21°C 4.0%
19°C or below 1.0%
$2,485 Vol.
$2,485 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
5%
23°C
88%
24°C
-
25°C
-
26°C
-
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 88%
22°C 5%
21°C 4.0%
19°C or below 1.0%
$2,485 Vol.
$2,485 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
19°C or below
$67 Vol.
1%
20°C
$67 Vol.
1%
21°C
$67 Vol.
4%
22°C
$91 Vol.
5%
23°C
$97 Vol.
88%
24°C
$91 Vol.
-
25°C
$81 Vol.
-
26°C
$269 Vol.
-
27°C
$1,035 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$570 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Guangzhou's overnight low on September 5 will hover near 25–26°C amid scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 80–90%, and light northeasterly winds under 10 km/h. Persistent cloud cover and moist tropical air limit radiational cooling, keeping minimums from dropping to the long-term September 5 average of 24.9°C. Slight differences between 25°C and 26°C hinge on the precise timing of rainfall and any brief clear spells that could enhance surface heat loss. Traders weigh these variables against recent observations showing similar conditions yielding lows of 24–25°C, with model consensus supporting the tight market spread between the top two outcomes. Updated short-range guidance later today could refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$2,485End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Guangzhou's overnight low on September 5 will hover near 25–26°C amid scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 80–90%, and light northeasterly winds under 10 km/h. Persistent cloud cover and moist tropical air limit radiational cooling, keeping minimums from dropping to the long-term September 5 average of 24.9°C. Slight differences between 25°C and 26°C hinge on the precise timing of rainfall and any brief clear spells that could enhance surface heat loss. Traders weigh these variables against recent observations showing similar conditions yielding lows of 24–25°C, with model consensus supporting the tight market spread between the top two outcomes. Updated short-range guidance later today could refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,485End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Guangzhou's overnight low on September 5 will hover near 25–26°C amid scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 80–90%, and light northeasterly winds under 10 km/h. Persistent cloud cover and moist tropical air limit radiational cooling, keeping minimums from dropping to the long-term September 5 average of 24.9°C. Slight differences between 25°C and 26°C hinge on the precise timing of rainfall and any brief clear spells that could enhance surface heat loss. Traders weigh these variables against recent observations showing similar conditions yielding lows of 24–25°C, with model consensus supporting the tight market spread between the top two outcomes. Updated short-range guidance later today could refine the exact threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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