**Current forecasts for Guangzhou on September 6 indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C, driven by a warm, humid air mass and widespread cloud cover from thunderstorm activity that limits radiative cooling.** Multiple models, including those referenced in WeatherBug, Yr.no, and local Chinese meteorological sources, show minimum temperatures holding in this range amid light winds and high dew points around 24–26°C. Persistent rain and thunderstorms associated with regional moisture patterns further moderate temperature drops, consistent with climatological norms where September averages hover near 24.8°C but recent conditions favor slightly higher values. Trader consensus reflected in the 63% implied probability for 26°C aligns with this model consensus, while lower outcomes like 24°C or 23°C retain secondary support if clearer skies develop overnight. Updated forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 6?
26°C 76%
21°C 47%
22°C 47%
24°C 31%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
20°C or below
16%
21°C
47%
22°C
47%
23°C
30%
24°C
31%
25°C
28%
26°C
68%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 76%
21°C 47%
22°C 47%
24°C 31%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
16%
21°C
$0 Vol.
47%
22°C
$0 Vol.
47%
23°C
$2 Vol.
30%
24°C
$1 Vol.
31%
25°C
$73 Vol.
28%
26°C
$110 Vol.
68%
27°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$50 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Guangzhou on September 6 indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C, driven by a warm, humid air mass and widespread cloud cover from thunderstorm activity that limits radiative cooling.** Multiple models, including those referenced in WeatherBug, Yr.no, and local Chinese meteorological sources, show minimum temperatures holding in this range amid light winds and high dew points around 24–26°C. Persistent rain and thunderstorms associated with regional moisture patterns further moderate temperature drops, consistent with climatological norms where September averages hover near 24.8°C but recent conditions favor slightly higher values. Trader consensus reflected in the 63% implied probability for 26°C aligns with this model consensus, while lower outcomes like 24°C or 23°C retain secondary support if clearer skies develop overnight. Updated forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$367End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Guangzhou on September 6 indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C, driven by a warm, humid air mass and widespread cloud cover from thunderstorm activity that limits radiative cooling.** Multiple models, including those referenced in WeatherBug, Yr.no, and local Chinese meteorological sources, show minimum temperatures holding in this range amid light winds and high dew points around 24–26°C. Persistent rain and thunderstorms associated with regional moisture patterns further moderate temperature drops, consistent with climatological norms where September averages hover near 24.8°C but recent conditions favor slightly higher values. Trader consensus reflected in the 63% implied probability for 26°C aligns with this model consensus, while lower outcomes like 24°C or 23°C retain secondary support if clearer skies develop overnight. Updated forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$367End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts for Guangzhou on September 6 indicate overnight lows near 25–26°C, driven by a warm, humid air mass and widespread cloud cover from thunderstorm activity that limits radiative cooling.** Multiple models, including those referenced in WeatherBug, Yr.no, and local Chinese meteorological sources, show minimum temperatures holding in this range amid light winds and high dew points around 24–26°C. Persistent rain and thunderstorms associated with regional moisture patterns further moderate temperature drops, consistent with climatological norms where September averages hover near 24.8°C but recent conditions favor slightly higher values. Trader consensus reflected in the 63% implied probability for 26°C aligns with this model consensus, while lower outcomes like 24°C or 23°C retain secondary support if clearer skies develop overnight. Updated forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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