**Persistent warm southerly flow and clear skies under high pressure are keeping Dallas overnight temperatures elevated well above seasonal norms, positioning the daily minimum near 80–82°F.** National Weather Service forecasts for September 5 call for a low around 79–81°F, with recent observations showing minima of 77°F on the 4th and similar values amid daytime highs near 100°F and dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s. This pattern reflects a stable air mass with minimal radiative cooling overnight and no approaching fronts, consistent with model consensus from GFS and local guidance. Historical September averages near 74°F highlight the anomaly, but current conditions and the lack of any cooling trigger support the market's strong consensus on the 82–83°F bin. Updated NWS briefings tonight will confirm the final reading before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Dallas on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Dallas on September 5?
82-83°F 91%
80-81°F 9%
76-77°F 8%
78-79°F 8%
$4,028 Vol.
$4,028 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
91%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 91%
80-81°F 9%
76-77°F 8%
78-79°F 8%
$4,028 Vol.
$4,028 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
67°F or below
$62 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$62 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$44 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$34 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$37 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$37 Vol.
8%
78-79°F
$79 Vol.
8%
80-81°F
$213 Vol.
9%
82-83°F
$425 Vol.
91%
84-85°F
$3,002 Vol.
<1%
86°F or higher
$32 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent warm southerly flow and clear skies under high pressure are keeping Dallas overnight temperatures elevated well above seasonal norms, positioning the daily minimum near 80–82°F.** National Weather Service forecasts for September 5 call for a low around 79–81°F, with recent observations showing minima of 77°F on the 4th and similar values amid daytime highs near 100°F and dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s. This pattern reflects a stable air mass with minimal radiative cooling overnight and no approaching fronts, consistent with model consensus from GFS and local guidance. Historical September averages near 74°F highlight the anomaly, but current conditions and the lack of any cooling trigger support the market's strong consensus on the 82–83°F bin. Updated NWS briefings tonight will confirm the final reading before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$4,028End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent warm southerly flow and clear skies under high pressure are keeping Dallas overnight temperatures elevated well above seasonal norms, positioning the daily minimum near 80–82°F.** National Weather Service forecasts for September 5 call for a low around 79–81°F, with recent observations showing minima of 77°F on the 4th and similar values amid daytime highs near 100°F and dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s. This pattern reflects a stable air mass with minimal radiative cooling overnight and no approaching fronts, consistent with model consensus from GFS and local guidance. Historical September averages near 74°F highlight the anomaly, but current conditions and the lack of any cooling trigger support the market's strong consensus on the 82–83°F bin. Updated NWS briefings tonight will confirm the final reading before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,028End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent warm southerly flow and clear skies under high pressure are keeping Dallas overnight temperatures elevated well above seasonal norms, positioning the daily minimum near 80–82°F.** National Weather Service forecasts for September 5 call for a low around 79–81°F, with recent observations showing minima of 77°F on the 4th and similar values amid daytime highs near 100°F and dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s. This pattern reflects a stable air mass with minimal radiative cooling overnight and no approaching fronts, consistent with model consensus from GFS and local guidance. Historical September averages near 74°F highlight the anomaly, but current conditions and the lack of any cooling trigger support the market's strong consensus on the 82–83°F bin. Updated NWS briefings tonight will confirm the final reading before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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