**Trader consensus strongly favors a 74-75°F low in Atlanta on September 5, 2026, with 94% implied probability.** Official National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance project this minimum under persistently hot, humid conditions, with daytime highs near 99°F, dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s, light winds, and only partial overnight cloud cover or patchy fog limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with recent climatological trends of elevated nighttime temperatures during late-summer heat episodes, well above the early-September average low near 68°F. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum recorded at Atlanta’s primary climate station. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing combined with stronger boundary-layer mixing or drier air advection than currently modeled, though ensemble guidance shows limited support for such a shift before the overnight period ends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Atlanta on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Atlanta on September 5?
74-75°F 94%
70-71°F 17%
72-73°F 11%
68-69°F 10%
$550 Vol.
$550 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
67°F or below
8%
68-69°F
10%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
94%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 94%
70-71°F 17%
72-73°F 11%
68-69°F 10%
$550 Vol.
$550 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
67°F or below
$12 Vol.
8%
68-69°F
$12 Vol.
10%
70-71°F
$37 Vol.
17%
72-73°F
$10 Vol.
11%
74-75°F
$157 Vol.
94%
76-77°F
$82 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$102 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$32 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$32 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$42 Vol.
<1%
86°F or higher
$32 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 74-75°F low in Atlanta on September 5, 2026, with 94% implied probability.** Official National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance project this minimum under persistently hot, humid conditions, with daytime highs near 99°F, dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s, light winds, and only partial overnight cloud cover or patchy fog limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with recent climatological trends of elevated nighttime temperatures during late-summer heat episodes, well above the early-September average low near 68°F. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum recorded at Atlanta’s primary climate station. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing combined with stronger boundary-layer mixing or drier air advection than currently modeled, though ensemble guidance shows limited support for such a shift before the overnight period ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$550End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katlResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 74-75°F low in Atlanta on September 5, 2026, with 94% implied probability.** Official National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance project this minimum under persistently hot, humid conditions, with daytime highs near 99°F, dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s, light winds, and only partial overnight cloud cover or patchy fog limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with recent climatological trends of elevated nighttime temperatures during late-summer heat episodes, well above the early-September average low near 68°F. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum recorded at Atlanta’s primary climate station. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing combined with stronger boundary-layer mixing or drier air advection than currently modeled, though ensemble guidance shows limited support for such a shift before the overnight period ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$550End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katlResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 74-75°F low in Atlanta on September 5, 2026, with 94% implied probability.** Official National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance project this minimum under persistently hot, humid conditions, with daytime highs near 99°F, dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s, light winds, and only partial overnight cloud cover or patchy fog limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with recent climatological trends of elevated nighttime temperatures during late-summer heat episodes, well above the early-September average low near 68°F. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum recorded at Atlanta’s primary climate station. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing combined with stronger boundary-layer mixing or drier air advection than currently modeled, though ensemble guidance shows limited support for such a shift before the overnight period ends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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