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icon for Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·International Election Props

Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·International Election Props

Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Marc-Antoine Bernier 61%

Chloé Fauchon 18%

Marcos Archambault 16%

Anne-Sophie Roy 5%

Polymarket
NEW

Marc-Antoine Bernier 61%

Chloé Fauchon 18%

Marcos Archambault 16%

Anne-Sophie Roy 5%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Marc-Antoine Bernier

Marc-Antoine Bernier

$1,327 Vol.

61%

icon for Chloé Fauchon

Chloé Fauchon

$275 Vol.

18%

icon for Marcos Archambault

Marcos Archambault

$217 Vol.

16%

icon for Anne-Sophie Roy

Anne-Sophie Roy

$180 Vol.

5%

icon for Richard Bélanger

Richard Bélanger

$706 Vol.

1%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The open seat in Louis-Hébert after longtime CAQ MNA Geneviève Guilbault declined to seek re-election has intensified competition among new candidates ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election. Provincial polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead over the CAQ, with the Conservatives and Liberals also in contention, while local projections from models like 338Canada continue to favor the CAQ nominee Marc-Antoine Bernier on the basis of historical riding strength. Trader consensus in the market, with Bernier at 44 percent and Chloé Fauchon of the PQ at 17 percent, reflects uncertainty over whether provincial momentum for the PQ or entrenched local support for the CAQ will prevail in this redistributed riding. Key variables include voter turnout among francophone households and any late shifts in party messaging on housing, education, and language issues.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$2,706
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The open seat in Louis-Hébert after longtime CAQ MNA Geneviève Guilbault declined to seek re-election has intensified competition among new candidates ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election. Provincial polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead over the CAQ, with the Conservatives and Liberals also in contention, while local projections from models like 338Canada continue to favor the CAQ nominee Marc-Antoine Bernier on the basis of historical riding strength. Trader consensus in the market, with Bernier at 44 percent and Chloé Fauchon of the PQ at 17 percent, reflects uncertainty over whether provincial momentum for the PQ or entrenched local support for the CAQ will prevail in this redistributed riding. Key variables include voter turnout among francophone households and any late shifts in party messaging on housing, education, and language issues.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$2,706
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Marc-Antoine Bernier" at 61%, followed by "Chloé Fauchon" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 61¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Marc-Antoine Bernier" at 61%, meaning the market assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Chloé Fauchon" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.