Ann Kao, the incumbent independent mayor of Hsinchu, holds an 86% implied probability as the election winner on November 28, 2026. She regained office in December 2025 after a High Court ruling reduced her earlier corruption conviction to a minor offense and fine, clearing the path for re-election. The Kuomintang has honored its coordination agreement with the Taiwan People’s Party by declining to nominate a challenger, effectively consolidating pan-blue support behind her despite her prior TPP affiliation. The Democratic Progressive Party’s candidate, Chuang Ching-cheng, and independent Ho Chih-yung trail at 4.3% and 7.6%, respectively, reflecting limited polling traction and structural barriers in a city with a highly educated, tech-oriented electorate. Candidate registration closed on September 4, with no major late shifts reported that would alter the current trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHsinchu City Mayor Election Winner
Hsinchu City Mayor Election Winner
Ann Kao 86%
Chuang Ching-cheng 2.5%
Ho Chih-yung 1.7%
$21,352 Vol.
$21,352 Vol.
Jun 30, 2027
Ann Kao
86%
Chuang Ching-cheng
3%
Ho Chih-yung
2%
Ann Kao 86%
Chuang Ching-cheng 2.5%
Ho Chih-yung 1.7%
$21,352 Vol.
$21,352 Vol.
Jun 30, 2027
Ann Kao
$20,443 Vol.
86%
Chuang Ching-cheng
$578 Vol.
3%
Ho Chih-yung
$331 Vol.
2%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Hsinchu City as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Ann Kao, the incumbent independent mayor of Hsinchu, holds an 86% implied probability as the election winner on November 28, 2026. She regained office in December 2025 after a High Court ruling reduced her earlier corruption conviction to a minor offense and fine, clearing the path for re-election. The Kuomintang has honored its coordination agreement with the Taiwan People’s Party by declining to nominate a challenger, effectively consolidating pan-blue support behind her despite her prior TPP affiliation. The Democratic Progressive Party’s candidate, Chuang Ching-cheng, and independent Ho Chih-yung trail at 4.3% and 7.6%, respectively, reflecting limited polling traction and structural barriers in a city with a highly educated, tech-oriented electorate. Candidate registration closed on September 4, with no major late shifts reported that would alter the current trader consensus.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Hsinchu City as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Hsinchu City as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$21,352End Date
Nov 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Hsinchu City as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Ann Kao, the incumbent independent mayor of Hsinchu, holds an 86% implied probability as the election winner on November 28, 2026. She regained office in December 2025 after a High Court ruling reduced her earlier corruption conviction to a minor offense and fine, clearing the path for re-election. The Kuomintang has honored its coordination agreement with the Taiwan People’s Party by declining to nominate a challenger, effectively consolidating pan-blue support behind her despite her prior TPP affiliation. The Democratic Progressive Party’s candidate, Chuang Ching-cheng, and independent Ho Chih-yung trail at 4.3% and 7.6%, respectively, reflecting limited polling traction and structural barriers in a city with a highly educated, tech-oriented electorate. Candidate registration closed on September 4, with no major late shifts reported that would alter the current trader consensus.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Hsinchu City as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Hsinchu City as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$21,352End Date
Nov 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ann Kao, the incumbent independent mayor of Hsinchu, holds an 86% implied probability as the election winner on November 28, 2026. She regained office in December 2025 after a High Court ruling reduced her earlier corruption conviction to a minor offense and fine, clearing the path for re-election. The Kuomintang has honored its coordination agreement with the Taiwan People’s Party by declining to nominate a challenger, effectively consolidating pan-blue support behind her despite her prior TPP affiliation. The Democratic Progressive Party’s candidate, Chuang Ching-cheng, and independent Ho Chih-yung trail at 4.3% and 7.6%, respectively, reflecting limited polling traction and structural barriers in a city with a highly educated, tech-oriented electorate. Candidate registration closed on September 4, with no major late shifts reported that would alter the current trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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