Latest numerical weather models, including GFS guidance, indicate a daytime high near 32°C in Beijing on September 6 under southerly flow and partly cloudy skies with light winds, supporting strong surface heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation. This exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 28.1°C for the date while remaining below the 32.3°C record set in 1993. A reinforcing warm air mass and minimal moisture advection favor the outcome, though model consensus shows only modest spread around 31–33°C. The subsequent cold front and rain expected September 7 will not affect tomorrow’s maximum, keeping short-range forecast uncertainty low and aligning trader-implied odds with observed model agreement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on September 6?
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 6?
32°C 62%
31°C 22%
33°C 11%
30°C 6%
NEW
$15,324 Vol.
NEW
$15,324 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
22%
32°C
62%
33°C
11%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 62%
31°C 22%
33°C 11%
30°C 6%
NEW
$15,324 Vol.
NEW
$15,324 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
26°C or below
$2,618 Vol.
1%
27°C
$496 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$570 Vol.
1%
29°C
$913 Vol.
3%
30°C
$1,238 Vol.
6%
31°C
$4,278 Vol.
22%
32°C
$2,759 Vol.
62%
33°C
$932 Vol.
11%
34°C
$892 Vol.
1%
35°C
$67 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$563 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather models, including GFS guidance, indicate a daytime high near 32°C in Beijing on September 6 under southerly flow and partly cloudy skies with light winds, supporting strong surface heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation. This exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 28.1°C for the date while remaining below the 32.3°C record set in 1993. A reinforcing warm air mass and minimal moisture advection favor the outcome, though model consensus shows only modest spread around 31–33°C. The subsequent cold front and rain expected September 7 will not affect tomorrow’s maximum, keeping short-range forecast uncertainty low and aligning trader-implied odds with observed model agreement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$15,324End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather models, including GFS guidance, indicate a daytime high near 32°C in Beijing on September 6 under southerly flow and partly cloudy skies with light winds, supporting strong surface heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation. This exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 28.1°C for the date while remaining below the 32.3°C record set in 1993. A reinforcing warm air mass and minimal moisture advection favor the outcome, though model consensus shows only modest spread around 31–33°C. The subsequent cold front and rain expected September 7 will not affect tomorrow’s maximum, keeping short-range forecast uncertainty low and aligning trader-implied odds with observed model agreement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,324End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather models, including GFS guidance, indicate a daytime high near 32°C in Beijing on September 6 under southerly flow and partly cloudy skies with light winds, supporting strong surface heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation. This exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 28.1°C for the date while remaining below the 32.3°C record set in 1993. A reinforcing warm air mass and minimal moisture advection favor the outcome, though model consensus shows only modest spread around 31–33°C. The subsequent cold front and rain expected September 7 will not affect tomorrow’s maximum, keeping short-range forecast uncertainty low and aligning trader-implied odds with observed model agreement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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