Georgia’s 4th Congressional District features a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+27 Partisan Voting Index and Kamala Harris’s 75.7% share in the 2024 presidential vote. Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson, first elected in 2007, secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 79% of the vote against two challengers, demonstrating consolidated party support ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee James Duffie faces structural headwinds in a district where recent Democratic margins have exceeded 50 points. Rating organizations including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. A commanding Democratic advantage in trader pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national partisan swing could theoretically alter the trajectory before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGA-04 House Election Winner
GA-04 House Election Winner
$48,081 Vol.
$48,081 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
3%
$48,081 Vol.
$48,081 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$29,990 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$18,091 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia’s 4th Congressional District features a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+27 Partisan Voting Index and Kamala Harris’s 75.7% share in the 2024 presidential vote. Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson, first elected in 2007, secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 79% of the vote against two challengers, demonstrating consolidated party support ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee James Duffie faces structural headwinds in a district where recent Democratic margins have exceeded 50 points. Rating organizations including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. A commanding Democratic advantage in trader pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national partisan swing could theoretically alter the trajectory before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$48,081End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia’s 4th Congressional District features a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+27 Partisan Voting Index and Kamala Harris’s 75.7% share in the 2024 presidential vote. Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson, first elected in 2007, secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 79% of the vote against two challengers, demonstrating consolidated party support ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee James Duffie faces structural headwinds in a district where recent Democratic margins have exceeded 50 points. Rating organizations including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. A commanding Democratic advantage in trader pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national partisan swing could theoretically alter the trajectory before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$48,081End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Georgia’s 4th Congressional District features a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+27 Partisan Voting Index and Kamala Harris’s 75.7% share in the 2024 presidential vote. Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson, first elected in 2007, secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 79% of the vote against two challengers, demonstrating consolidated party support ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee James Duffie faces structural headwinds in a district where recent Democratic margins have exceeded 50 points. Rating organizations including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. A commanding Democratic advantage in trader pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national partisan swing could theoretically alter the trajectory before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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