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icon for Arequipa Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Global Elections

Arequipa Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Arequipa Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Global Elections

Arequipa Mayoral Election Winner

Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes 48%

Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera 21%

Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa 16%

Elizabeth Genesis Amado Quispe 6.6%

Polymarket

$15,168 Vol.

Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes 48%

Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera 21%

Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa 16%

Elizabeth Genesis Amado Quispe 6.6%

Polymarket

$15,168 Vol.

icon for Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes

Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes

$2,603 Vol.

48%

icon for Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera

Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera

$954 Vol.

21%

icon for Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa

Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa

$7,431 Vol.

16%

icon for Elizabeth Genesis Amado Quispe

Elizabeth Genesis Amado Quispe

$92 Vol.

7%

icon for Alfredo Álvarez Díaz

Alfredo Álvarez Díaz

$92 Vol.

6%

icon for Lizbeth Zavala Vilca

Lizbeth Zavala Vilca

$132 Vol.

6%

icon for Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga

Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga

$307 Vol.

5%

icon for Andrés Eliseo Risueño Portugal

Andrés Eliseo Risueño Portugal

$162 Vol.

5%

icon for Javier Antonio Onofre Ccama

Javier Antonio Onofre Ccama

$112 Vol.

5%

icon for Lorenzo Filomeno Colque Arias

Lorenzo Filomeno Colque Arias

$112 Vol.

5%

icon for José Miguel Briones Silva

José Miguel Briones Silva

$251 Vol.

4%

icon for Yamel Deyson Romero Peralta

Yamel Deyson Romero Peralta

$99 Vol.

4%

icon for Deyanira Yajaira Salazar Rivera

Deyanira Yajaira Salazar Rivera

$155 Vol.

4%

icon for Elmer Ángel Acero Bruna

Elmer Ángel Acero Bruna

$284 Vol.

3%

icon for Ruccy Judith Oscco Polar

Ruccy Judith Oscco Polar

$180 Vol.

3%

icon for Juan Roberto Muñoz Pinto

Juan Roberto Muñoz Pinto

$92 Vol.

3%

icon for Mauricio Cáceres Cáceres

Mauricio Cáceres Cáceres

$264 Vol.

2%

icon for Jorge Luis Reyes Luján Martínez

Jorge Luis Reyes Luján Martínez

$254 Vol.

1%

icon for Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy

Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy

$1,146 Vol.

1%

icon for Isidro Flores Sosa

Isidro Flores Sosa

$448 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).The crowded field of more than 15 registered candidates for Arequipa's October 4, 2026, mayoral election has produced closely matched probabilities in the prediction market, reflecting a fragmented vote that recent surveys place below 25% for any single contender. Manuel Vera Paredes leads some late-August polling, followed by Renzo Salas Herrera and Ricardo Ramírez del Villar Llosa, while Alfredo Álvarez Díaz and others trail amid regional party competition and questions over candidate backgrounds. Finalized inscriptions after JNE review, ongoing campaign events, and voter indecision continue to compress implied probabilities, with any consolidation around frontrunners or turnout shifts in the remaining weeks likely to widen gaps before election day.

The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Volume
$15,168
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).The crowded field of more than 15 registered candidates for Arequipa's October 4, 2026, mayoral election has produced closely matched probabilities in the prediction market, reflecting a fragmented vote that recent surveys place below 25% for any single contender. Manuel Vera Paredes leads some late-August polling, followed by Renzo Salas Herrera and Ricardo Ramírez del Villar Llosa, while Alfredo Álvarez Díaz and others trail amid regional party competition and questions over candidate backgrounds. Finalized inscriptions after JNE review, ongoing campaign events, and voter indecision continue to compress implied probabilities, with any consolidation around frontrunners or turnout shifts in the remaining weeks likely to widen gaps before election day.

The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Volume
$15,168
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Arequipa Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes" at 48%, followed by "Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Arequipa Mayoral Election Winner" has generated $15.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Arequipa Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Arequipa Mayoral Election Winner" is "Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Arequipa Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.