The crowded field of over two dozen candidates for Cusco's October 4, 2026, mayoral election has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered, with Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar holding the highest implied odds near 46% amid a fragmented vote. Several district mayors and former officials, including Sergio Sullca Condori and William Peña Farfán, draw support from established local bases and party movements, while limited recent public polling leaves room for volatility. Legal scrutiny around some contenders and standard campaign dynamics in Peru's multi-party municipal contests further sustain uncertainty, with any late endorsements, debates, or turnout shifts among key voting blocs potentially widening gaps before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAlbert Aníbal Arenas Yabar 44%
Sergio Sullca Condori 21.4%
William Peña Farfán 16%
Iván Hurtado Villafuerte 8.4%
$22,228 Vol.
$22,228 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar
44%
Sergio Sullca Condori
21%
William Peña Farfán
16%
Iván Hurtado Villafuerte
8%
Gabriela Paliza Romero
6%
Jorge Rogelio Vargas Febres
5%
Jesyka Guevara Villanueva
5%
Elizabeth Mónica Nieto Álvarez
5%
Víctor Vidal Pino Zambrano
4%
Delfín Kennedy Quispe Ccalla
4%
Eulogio Tapia Deza
3%
Eduardo Zans Loayza
3%
Jorge Luis Segura Ttito
2%
Federico Huamán Tapara
1%
Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar 44%
Sergio Sullca Condori 21.4%
William Peña Farfán 16%
Iván Hurtado Villafuerte 8.4%
$22,228 Vol.
$22,228 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar
$14,441 Vol.
44%
Sergio Sullca Condori
$196 Vol.
21%
William Peña Farfán
$5,916 Vol.
16%
Iván Hurtado Villafuerte
$104 Vol.
8%
Gabriela Paliza Romero
$104 Vol.
6%
Jorge Rogelio Vargas Febres
$169 Vol.
5%
Jesyka Guevara Villanueva
$145 Vol.
5%
Elizabeth Mónica Nieto Álvarez
$184 Vol.
5%
Víctor Vidal Pino Zambrano
$205 Vol.
4%
Delfín Kennedy Quispe Ccalla
$127 Vol.
4%
Eulogio Tapia Deza
$143 Vol.
3%
Eduardo Zans Loayza
$154 Vol.
3%
Jorge Luis Segura Ttito
$132 Vol.
2%
Federico Huamán Tapara
$211 Vol.
1%
The 2026 Cusco, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).The crowded field of over two dozen candidates for Cusco's October 4, 2026, mayoral election has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered, with Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar holding the highest implied odds near 46% amid a fragmented vote. Several district mayors and former officials, including Sergio Sullca Condori and William Peña Farfán, draw support from established local bases and party movements, while limited recent public polling leaves room for volatility. Legal scrutiny around some contenders and standard campaign dynamics in Peru's multi-party municipal contests further sustain uncertainty, with any late endorsements, debates, or turnout shifts among key voting blocs potentially widening gaps before resolution.
The 2026 Cusco, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
Volume
$22,228End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Cusco, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).The crowded field of over two dozen candidates for Cusco's October 4, 2026, mayoral election has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered, with Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar holding the highest implied odds near 46% amid a fragmented vote. Several district mayors and former officials, including Sergio Sullca Condori and William Peña Farfán, draw support from established local bases and party movements, while limited recent public polling leaves room for volatility. Legal scrutiny around some contenders and standard campaign dynamics in Peru's multi-party municipal contests further sustain uncertainty, with any late endorsements, debates, or turnout shifts among key voting blocs potentially widening gaps before resolution.
The 2026 Cusco, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Volume
$22,228End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The crowded field of over two dozen candidates for Cusco's October 4, 2026, mayoral election has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered, with Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar holding the highest implied odds near 46% amid a fragmented vote. Several district mayors and former officials, including Sergio Sullca Condori and William Peña Farfán, draw support from established local bases and party movements, while limited recent public polling leaves room for volatility. Legal scrutiny around some contenders and standard campaign dynamics in Peru's multi-party municipal contests further sustain uncertainty, with any late endorsements, debates, or turnout shifts among key voting blocs potentially widening gaps before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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