Kerry-Lynne Findlay holds the leading position in trader assessments for the September 26 Abbotsford-Mission by-election, reflecting the riding's recent Conservative support and her status as party leader seeking a legislative seat after the incumbent's resignation. Pam Alexis, the NDP's rematch candidate and former local MLA, trails but remains competitive in a district that shifted boundaries since her 2020 win. A late poll showed Findlay ahead by roughly 15 points, though minor-party entries including BC Greens candidate Stephen Fowler and CentreBC's Lakhwinder Jhaj could fragment the vote. Advance polls open September 18, and final results will determine whether the Conservative leader secures the seat ahead of the fall legislative session.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKerry-Lynne Findlay 57%
Pam Alexis 43%
Lakhwinder Jhaj 2.5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 26, 2026
Kerry-Lynne Findlay
57%
Pam Alexis
43%
Lakhwinder Jhaj
3%
Kerry-Lynne Findlay 57%
Pam Alexis 43%
Lakhwinder Jhaj 2.5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 26, 2026
Kerry-Lynne Findlay
$8,948 Vol.
57%
Pam Alexis
$108 Vol.
43%
Lakhwinder Jhaj
$165 Vol.
3%
A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).Kerry-Lynne Findlay holds the leading position in trader assessments for the September 26 Abbotsford-Mission by-election, reflecting the riding's recent Conservative support and her status as party leader seeking a legislative seat after the incumbent's resignation. Pam Alexis, the NDP's rematch candidate and former local MLA, trails but remains competitive in a district that shifted boundaries since her 2020 win. A late poll showed Findlay ahead by roughly 15 points, though minor-party entries including BC Greens candidate Stephen Fowler and CentreBC's Lakhwinder Jhaj could fragment the vote. Advance polls open September 18, and final results will determine whether the Conservative leader secures the seat ahead of the fall legislative session.
A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 3:02 PM ET
Volume
$9,221End Date
Sep 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://elections.bc.ca/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).Kerry-Lynne Findlay holds the leading position in trader assessments for the September 26 Abbotsford-Mission by-election, reflecting the riding's recent Conservative support and her status as party leader seeking a legislative seat after the incumbent's resignation. Pam Alexis, the NDP's rematch candidate and former local MLA, trails but remains competitive in a district that shifted boundaries since her 2020 win. A late poll showed Findlay ahead by roughly 15 points, though minor-party entries including BC Greens candidate Stephen Fowler and CentreBC's Lakhwinder Jhaj could fragment the vote. Advance polls open September 18, and final results will determine whether the Conservative leader secures the seat ahead of the fall legislative session.
A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
Volume
$9,221End Date
Sep 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://elections.bc.ca/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kerry-Lynne Findlay holds the leading position in trader assessments for the September 26 Abbotsford-Mission by-election, reflecting the riding's recent Conservative support and her status as party leader seeking a legislative seat after the incumbent's resignation. Pam Alexis, the NDP's rematch candidate and former local MLA, trails but remains competitive in a district that shifted boundaries since her 2020 win. A late poll showed Findlay ahead by roughly 15 points, though minor-party entries including BC Greens candidate Stephen Fowler and CentreBC's Lakhwinder Jhaj could fragment the vote. Advance polls open September 18, and final results will determine whether the Conservative leader secures the seat ahead of the fall legislative session.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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