Baba Malam Wali holds a dominant position in the Yobe gubernatorial race as the All Progressives Congress nominee following his landslide primary victory in May 2026, where he secured over 236,000 votes against several challengers. The outcome followed stakeholder consensus efforts and endorsement by incumbent Governor Mai Mala Buni as his preferred successor, alongside support from former Governor Ibrahim Geidam and local government chairmen. Wali’s candidacy aligns with regional equity demands for Yobe North representation, and recent developments including royal tours, opposition defections to the APC, and party reconciliation committees have reinforced APC cohesion ahead of the 2027 polls. In a state where the ruling party maintains strong grassroots control and faces limited organized opposition, these factors underpin trader consensus around his prospects while leaving limited room for alternatives absent major shifts in party dynamics or security conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedYobe, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Yobe, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Baba Wali 87%
Abdullahi Sharif 5%
Abdullahi Usman Maigida 3.2%
Kassim Gana Geidam 1.6%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Baba Wali
87%
Abdullahi Sharif
5%
Abdullahi Usman Maigida
3%
Kassim Gana Geidam
2%
Baba Wali 87%
Abdullahi Sharif 5%
Abdullahi Usman Maigida 3.2%
Kassim Gana Geidam 1.6%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Baba Wali
$5,683 Vol.
87%
Abdullahi Sharif
$477 Vol.
5%
Abdullahi Usman Maigida
$241 Vol.
3%
Kassim Gana Geidam
$131 Vol.
2%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Yobe State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Yobe State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Baba Malam Wali holds a dominant position in the Yobe gubernatorial race as the All Progressives Congress nominee following his landslide primary victory in May 2026, where he secured over 236,000 votes against several challengers. The outcome followed stakeholder consensus efforts and endorsement by incumbent Governor Mai Mala Buni as his preferred successor, alongside support from former Governor Ibrahim Geidam and local government chairmen. Wali’s candidacy aligns with regional equity demands for Yobe North representation, and recent developments including royal tours, opposition defections to the APC, and party reconciliation committees have reinforced APC cohesion ahead of the 2027 polls. In a state where the ruling party maintains strong grassroots control and faces limited organized opposition, these factors underpin trader consensus around his prospects while leaving limited room for alternatives absent major shifts in party dynamics or security conditions.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Yobe State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Yobe State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Yobe State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Volume
$6,531End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Yobe State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Yobe State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Baba Malam Wali holds a dominant position in the Yobe gubernatorial race as the All Progressives Congress nominee following his landslide primary victory in May 2026, where he secured over 236,000 votes against several challengers. The outcome followed stakeholder consensus efforts and endorsement by incumbent Governor Mai Mala Buni as his preferred successor, alongside support from former Governor Ibrahim Geidam and local government chairmen. Wali’s candidacy aligns with regional equity demands for Yobe North representation, and recent developments including royal tours, opposition defections to the APC, and party reconciliation committees have reinforced APC cohesion ahead of the 2027 polls. In a state where the ruling party maintains strong grassroots control and faces limited organized opposition, these factors underpin trader consensus around his prospects while leaving limited room for alternatives absent major shifts in party dynamics or security conditions.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Yobe State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Yobe State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Yobe State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$6,531End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Baba Malam Wali holds a dominant position in the Yobe gubernatorial race as the All Progressives Congress nominee following his landslide primary victory in May 2026, where he secured over 236,000 votes against several challengers. The outcome followed stakeholder consensus efforts and endorsement by incumbent Governor Mai Mala Buni as his preferred successor, alongside support from former Governor Ibrahim Geidam and local government chairmen. Wali’s candidacy aligns with regional equity demands for Yobe North representation, and recent developments including royal tours, opposition defections to the APC, and party reconciliation committees have reinforced APC cohesion ahead of the 2027 polls. In a state where the ruling party maintains strong grassroots control and faces limited organized opposition, these factors underpin trader consensus around his prospects while leaving limited room for alternatives absent major shifts in party dynamics or security conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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