Governor Hyacinth Alia secured the APC nomination for the 2027 Benue governorship through a direct primary landslide in August 2026, positioning him as the clear frontrunner amid the party's dominance in the state. Recent opposition consolidation, including Michael Aondoakaa's selection as PDP consensus candidate and Herman Hembe's ADC bid, has introduced competition, while local groups from Alia's Kunav bloc publicly opposed his re-election bid in early September, citing insecurity and governance concerns. Internal APC tensions involving the Akume faction and post-primary disputes add uncertainty to party unity. Traders price Alia highest due to incumbency advantages and primary results, yet the multi-candidate field and regional dynamics keep probabilities from rising further ahead of the general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBenue, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Benue, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Alia Hyacinth Iormem 56%
Michael Aondoakaa 10%
Hembe Herman Iorwase C. 2.7%
Titus Tamango Belamo <1%
$14,079 Vol.
$14,079 Vol.
Feb 6, 2027
Alia Hyacinth Iormem
56%
Michael Aondoakaa
10%
Hembe Herman Iorwase C.
3%
Titus Tamango Belamo
1%
Sebastine Hon
1%
Ochigbo Mathew Sunday
1%
Alia Hyacinth Iormem 56%
Michael Aondoakaa 10%
Hembe Herman Iorwase C. 2.7%
Titus Tamango Belamo <1%
$14,079 Vol.
$14,079 Vol.
Feb 6, 2027
Alia Hyacinth Iormem
$7,900 Vol.
56%
Michael Aondoakaa
$3,017 Vol.
10%
Hembe Herman Iorwase C.
$1,968 Vol.
3%
Titus Tamango Belamo
$456 Vol.
1%
Sebastine Hon
$347 Vol.
1%
Ochigbo Mathew Sunday
$390 Vol.
1%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Benue State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Benue State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Governor Hyacinth Alia secured the APC nomination for the 2027 Benue governorship through a direct primary landslide in August 2026, positioning him as the clear frontrunner amid the party's dominance in the state. Recent opposition consolidation, including Michael Aondoakaa's selection as PDP consensus candidate and Herman Hembe's ADC bid, has introduced competition, while local groups from Alia's Kunav bloc publicly opposed his re-election bid in early September, citing insecurity and governance concerns. Internal APC tensions involving the Akume faction and post-primary disputes add uncertainty to party unity. Traders price Alia highest due to incumbency advantages and primary results, yet the multi-candidate field and regional dynamics keep probabilities from rising further ahead of the general election.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Benue State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Benue State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Benue State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
Volume
$14,079End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 3:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Benue State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Benue State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Governor Hyacinth Alia secured the APC nomination for the 2027 Benue governorship through a direct primary landslide in August 2026, positioning him as the clear frontrunner amid the party's dominance in the state. Recent opposition consolidation, including Michael Aondoakaa's selection as PDP consensus candidate and Herman Hembe's ADC bid, has introduced competition, while local groups from Alia's Kunav bloc publicly opposed his re-election bid in early September, citing insecurity and governance concerns. Internal APC tensions involving the Akume faction and post-primary disputes add uncertainty to party unity. Traders price Alia highest due to incumbency advantages and primary results, yet the multi-candidate field and regional dynamics keep probabilities from rising further ahead of the general election.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Benue State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Benue State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Benue State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$14,079End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 3:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Governor Hyacinth Alia secured the APC nomination for the 2027 Benue governorship through a direct primary landslide in August 2026, positioning him as the clear frontrunner amid the party's dominance in the state. Recent opposition consolidation, including Michael Aondoakaa's selection as PDP consensus candidate and Herman Hembe's ADC bid, has introduced competition, while local groups from Alia's Kunav bloc publicly opposed his re-election bid in early September, citing insecurity and governance concerns. Internal APC tensions involving the Akume faction and post-primary disputes add uncertainty to party unity. Traders price Alia highest due to incumbency advantages and primary results, yet the multi-candidate field and regional dynamics keep probabilities from rising further ahead of the general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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