The rapid escalation of the Bundibugyo strain outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo, now the country's deadliest on record with over 6,000 confirmed cases and 3,000 deaths since mid-May, anchors trader sentiment around high likelihood for DRC while raising cross-border risks. Conflict zones, high population mobility through mining routes, and incomplete contact tracing have driven unchecked community transmission across six provinces, outpacing prior epidemics in speed. Uganda contained its imported cases by July after a 42-day clearance, but imported detections like the one in France highlight export potential. Ongoing vaccination trials for health workers, international aid pledges, and seasonal school reopenings serve as key swing factors that could either contain the "campaign" or expand the footprint to neighbors like South Sudan before year-end.