Emily Randall's incumbency and the district's established Democratic lean underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent in the November 3 general election. Washington’s 6th district, covering the Olympic and Kitsap peninsulas plus parts of Tacoma, carries a D+8 partisan lean and has delivered double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Randall advanced comfortably from the August 4 top-two primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote, outpacing Republican Teresa Fox, while nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Strong fundraising, union support, and consistent polling leads reinforce this positioning. A national Republican surge, unusually elevated GOP turnout, or late scandal involving the incumbent remain the primary low-probability paths that could narrow the gap before ballots are counted.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWA-06 House Election Winner
WA-06 House Election Winner
$38,186 Vol.
$38,186 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$38,186 Vol.
$38,186 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$4,035 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$34,151 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Emily Randall's incumbency and the district's established Democratic lean underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent in the November 3 general election. Washington’s 6th district, covering the Olympic and Kitsap peninsulas plus parts of Tacoma, carries a D+8 partisan lean and has delivered double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Randall advanced comfortably from the August 4 top-two primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote, outpacing Republican Teresa Fox, while nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Strong fundraising, union support, and consistent polling leads reinforce this positioning. A national Republican surge, unusually elevated GOP turnout, or late scandal involving the incumbent remain the primary low-probability paths that could narrow the gap before ballots are counted.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$38,186End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Emily Randall's incumbency and the district's established Democratic lean underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent in the November 3 general election. Washington’s 6th district, covering the Olympic and Kitsap peninsulas plus parts of Tacoma, carries a D+8 partisan lean and has delivered double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Randall advanced comfortably from the August 4 top-two primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote, outpacing Republican Teresa Fox, while nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Strong fundraising, union support, and consistent polling leads reinforce this positioning. A national Republican surge, unusually elevated GOP turnout, or late scandal involving the incumbent remain the primary low-probability paths that could narrow the gap before ballots are counted.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$38,186End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Emily Randall's incumbency and the district's established Democratic lean underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent in the November 3 general election. Washington’s 6th district, covering the Olympic and Kitsap peninsulas plus parts of Tacoma, carries a D+8 partisan lean and has delivered double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Randall advanced comfortably from the August 4 top-two primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote, outpacing Republican Teresa Fox, while nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Strong fundraising, union support, and consistent polling leads reinforce this positioning. A national Republican surge, unusually elevated GOP turnout, or late scandal involving the incumbent remain the primary low-probability paths that could narrow the gap before ballots are counted.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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