The recent U.S.-Venezuela agreement granting American interests majority control over 65 billion barrels of proven reserves, combined with President Trump’s late-August announcement that Venezuelan crude will replenish the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, forms the central catalyst for trader positioning. The SPR stands at approximately 287 million barrels—near a 44-year low after repeated releases amid the Iran conflict—with officials indicating potential inflows via swaps of heavy Venezuelan grades for lighter U.S. crudes as early as November. Venezuela’s current 1.25 million barrels-per-day output and the need for tens of billions in infrastructure investment, however, point to a multi-year timeline for material additions, while cavern specifications limit direct storage of extra-heavy grades. These dynamics underscore the distinction between announced policy intent and near-term physical delivery constraints.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
3%
December 31
14%
$2,017 Vol.
September 30
$963 Vol.
3%
December 31
$1,053 Vol.
14%
On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify.
The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.The recent U.S.-Venezuela agreement granting American interests majority control over 65 billion barrels of proven reserves, combined with President Trump’s late-August announcement that Venezuelan crude will replenish the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, forms the central catalyst for trader positioning. The SPR stands at approximately 287 million barrels—near a 44-year low after repeated releases amid the Iran conflict—with officials indicating potential inflows via swaps of heavy Venezuelan grades for lighter U.S. crudes as early as November. Venezuela’s current 1.25 million barrels-per-day output and the need for tens of billions in infrastructure investment, however, point to a multi-year timeline for material additions, while cavern specifications limit direct storage of extra-heavy grades. These dynamics underscore the distinction between announced policy intent and near-term physical delivery constraints.
On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify.
The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify.
The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Sep 2, 2026, 2:16 PM ET
Volume
$2,017End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 2:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify.
The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.The recent U.S.-Venezuela agreement granting American interests majority control over 65 billion barrels of proven reserves, combined with President Trump’s late-August announcement that Venezuelan crude will replenish the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, forms the central catalyst for trader positioning. The SPR stands at approximately 287 million barrels—near a 44-year low after repeated releases amid the Iran conflict—with officials indicating potential inflows via swaps of heavy Venezuelan grades for lighter U.S. crudes as early as November. Venezuela’s current 1.25 million barrels-per-day output and the need for tens of billions in infrastructure investment, however, point to a multi-year timeline for material additions, while cavern specifications limit direct storage of extra-heavy grades. These dynamics underscore the distinction between announced policy intent and near-term physical delivery constraints.
On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify.
The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify.
The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,017End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 2:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The recent U.S.-Venezuela agreement granting American interests majority control over 65 billion barrels of proven reserves, combined with President Trump’s late-August announcement that Venezuelan crude will replenish the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, forms the central catalyst for trader positioning. The SPR stands at approximately 287 million barrels—near a 44-year low after repeated releases amid the Iran conflict—with officials indicating potential inflows via swaps of heavy Venezuelan grades for lighter U.S. crudes as early as November. Venezuela’s current 1.25 million barrels-per-day output and the need for tens of billions in infrastructure investment, however, point to a multi-year timeline for material additions, while cavern specifications limit direct storage of extra-heavy grades. These dynamics underscore the distinction between announced policy intent and near-term physical delivery constraints.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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