Utah’s 2nd congressional district has been rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, reflecting its R+15 Partisan Voter Index and northern Utah composition after recent redistricting. Incumbent Republican Blake Moore secured the party nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 57 percent of the vote and faces Democrat Peter Crosby plus minor-party candidates in the November 3 general election. The district’s voter base and Moore’s established fundraising and endorsements underpin trader consensus around a Republican outcome. A late national partisan swing, significant scandal, or unexpectedly high Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUT-02 House Election Winner
UT-02 House Election Winner
$15,841 Vol.
$15,841 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
5%
$15,841 Vol.
$15,841 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,462 Vol.
95%
Democratic Party
$13,379 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah’s 2nd congressional district has been rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, reflecting its R+15 Partisan Voter Index and northern Utah composition after recent redistricting. Incumbent Republican Blake Moore secured the party nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 57 percent of the vote and faces Democrat Peter Crosby plus minor-party candidates in the November 3 general election. The district’s voter base and Moore’s established fundraising and endorsements underpin trader consensus around a Republican outcome. A late national partisan swing, significant scandal, or unexpectedly high Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Volume
$15,841End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah’s 2nd congressional district has been rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, reflecting its R+15 Partisan Voter Index and northern Utah composition after recent redistricting. Incumbent Republican Blake Moore secured the party nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 57 percent of the vote and faces Democrat Peter Crosby plus minor-party candidates in the November 3 general election. The district’s voter base and Moore’s established fundraising and endorsements underpin trader consensus around a Republican outcome. A late national partisan swing, significant scandal, or unexpectedly high Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,841End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah’s 2nd congressional district has been rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, reflecting its R+15 Partisan Voter Index and northern Utah composition after recent redistricting. Incumbent Republican Blake Moore secured the party nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 57 percent of the vote and faces Democrat Peter Crosby plus minor-party candidates in the November 3 general election. The district’s voter base and Moore’s established fundraising and endorsements underpin trader consensus around a Republican outcome. A late national partisan swing, significant scandal, or unexpectedly high Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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