Celeste Maloy secured the Republican nomination for Utah’s 3rd Congressional District after defeating former state representative Phil Lyman by a wide margin in the June 23 primary. The newly configured district, which stretches across much of eastern and southern Utah including areas around St. George, Cedar City, and Provo, carries a strong Republican tilt reflected in recent presidential results and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Republican. With Democrat Kent Udell as the general-election opponent and no competitive primary on that side, trader pricing at 94.5% for Republicans aligns with the district’s partisan baseline and Maloy’s established fundraising and organizational advantages heading into the November 3 vote. Shifts would require an unforeseen national swing, late-breaking scandal, or turnout anomaly capable of overcoming the underlying 20-plus-point Republican structural edge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUT-03 House Election Winner
UT-03 House Election Winner
$12,508 Vol.
$12,508 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$12,508 Vol.
$12,508 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$10,076 Vol.
95%
Democratic Party
$2,432 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Celeste Maloy secured the Republican nomination for Utah’s 3rd Congressional District after defeating former state representative Phil Lyman by a wide margin in the June 23 primary. The newly configured district, which stretches across much of eastern and southern Utah including areas around St. George, Cedar City, and Provo, carries a strong Republican tilt reflected in recent presidential results and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Republican. With Democrat Kent Udell as the general-election opponent and no competitive primary on that side, trader pricing at 94.5% for Republicans aligns with the district’s partisan baseline and Maloy’s established fundraising and organizational advantages heading into the November 3 vote. Shifts would require an unforeseen national swing, late-breaking scandal, or turnout anomaly capable of overcoming the underlying 20-plus-point Republican structural edge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volume
$12,508End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Celeste Maloy secured the Republican nomination for Utah’s 3rd Congressional District after defeating former state representative Phil Lyman by a wide margin in the June 23 primary. The newly configured district, which stretches across much of eastern and southern Utah including areas around St. George, Cedar City, and Provo, carries a strong Republican tilt reflected in recent presidential results and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Republican. With Democrat Kent Udell as the general-election opponent and no competitive primary on that side, trader pricing at 94.5% for Republicans aligns with the district’s partisan baseline and Maloy’s established fundraising and organizational advantages heading into the November 3 vote. Shifts would require an unforeseen national swing, late-breaking scandal, or turnout anomaly capable of overcoming the underlying 20-plus-point Republican structural edge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,508End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Celeste Maloy secured the Republican nomination for Utah’s 3rd Congressional District after defeating former state representative Phil Lyman by a wide margin in the June 23 primary. The newly configured district, which stretches across much of eastern and southern Utah including areas around St. George, Cedar City, and Provo, carries a strong Republican tilt reflected in recent presidential results and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Republican. With Democrat Kent Udell as the general-election opponent and no competitive primary on that side, trader pricing at 94.5% for Republicans aligns with the district’s partisan baseline and Maloy’s established fundraising and organizational advantages heading into the November 3 vote. Shifts would require an unforeseen national swing, late-breaking scandal, or turnout anomaly capable of overcoming the underlying 20-plus-point Republican structural edge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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