Republican incumbent Mike Carey maintains a strong position in Ohio’s 15th congressional district, a suburban Columbus area rated R+5 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index. He secured his party’s nomination unopposed in the May primary and holds a significant fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Don Leonard, who narrowly won his primary. Recent polling from Hart Research in August showed Carey leading Leonard by four points among likely voters, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Likely or Solid Republican. The general election is scheduled for November 3, with no major late-cycle developments reported that have altered the competitive landscape.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOH-15 House Election Winner
OH-15 House Election Winner
$12,216 Vol.
$12,216 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
77%
Democratic Party
23%
$12,216 Vol.
$12,216 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$4,923 Vol.
77%
Democratic Party
$7,293 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mike Carey maintains a strong position in Ohio’s 15th congressional district, a suburban Columbus area rated R+5 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index. He secured his party’s nomination unopposed in the May primary and holds a significant fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Don Leonard, who narrowly won his primary. Recent polling from Hart Research in August showed Carey leading Leonard by four points among likely voters, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Likely or Solid Republican. The general election is scheduled for November 3, with no major late-cycle developments reported that have altered the competitive landscape.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$12,216End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mike Carey maintains a strong position in Ohio’s 15th congressional district, a suburban Columbus area rated R+5 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index. He secured his party’s nomination unopposed in the May primary and holds a significant fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Don Leonard, who narrowly won his primary. Recent polling from Hart Research in August showed Carey leading Leonard by four points among likely voters, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Likely or Solid Republican. The general election is scheduled for November 3, with no major late-cycle developments reported that have altered the competitive landscape.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,216End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Mike Carey maintains a strong position in Ohio’s 15th congressional district, a suburban Columbus area rated R+5 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index. He secured his party’s nomination unopposed in the May primary and holds a significant fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Don Leonard, who narrowly won his primary. Recent polling from Hart Research in August showed Carey leading Leonard by four points among likely voters, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Likely or Solid Republican. The general election is scheduled for November 3, with no major late-cycle developments reported that have altered the competitive landscape.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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