South Carolina’s 1st congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+6 and has favored Republican candidates by double-digit margins in recent presidential and House contests, establishing the primary structural advantage reflected in the 70.5% Republican consensus. The seat became open after incumbent Nancy Mace pursued the 2026 gubernatorial nomination, leading to June primaries and runoffs that produced Republican nominee Jenny Costa Honeycutt, a Charleston County councilwoman, and Democratic nominee Nancy Lacore, a retired Navy admiral. Recent polling shows a competitive general-election matchup in head-to-head tests, yet broader forecasting models continue to rate the race Likely Republican based on the district’s partisan baseline and historical turnout patterns. Traders price the Republican outcome accordingly while assigning the Democratic side a meaningful but secondary probability tied to the open-seat dynamics and any late-cycle shifts in voter sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSC-01 House Election Winner
SC-01 House Election Winner
$54,895 Vol.
$54,895 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
71%
Democratic Party
30%
$54,895 Vol.
$54,895 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$13,207 Vol.
71%
Democratic Party
$41,688 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina’s 1st congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+6 and has favored Republican candidates by double-digit margins in recent presidential and House contests, establishing the primary structural advantage reflected in the 70.5% Republican consensus. The seat became open after incumbent Nancy Mace pursued the 2026 gubernatorial nomination, leading to June primaries and runoffs that produced Republican nominee Jenny Costa Honeycutt, a Charleston County councilwoman, and Democratic nominee Nancy Lacore, a retired Navy admiral. Recent polling shows a competitive general-election matchup in head-to-head tests, yet broader forecasting models continue to rate the race Likely Republican based on the district’s partisan baseline and historical turnout patterns. Traders price the Republican outcome accordingly while assigning the Democratic side a meaningful but secondary probability tied to the open-seat dynamics and any late-cycle shifts in voter sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$54,895End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina’s 1st congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+6 and has favored Republican candidates by double-digit margins in recent presidential and House contests, establishing the primary structural advantage reflected in the 70.5% Republican consensus. The seat became open after incumbent Nancy Mace pursued the 2026 gubernatorial nomination, leading to June primaries and runoffs that produced Republican nominee Jenny Costa Honeycutt, a Charleston County councilwoman, and Democratic nominee Nancy Lacore, a retired Navy admiral. Recent polling shows a competitive general-election matchup in head-to-head tests, yet broader forecasting models continue to rate the race Likely Republican based on the district’s partisan baseline and historical turnout patterns. Traders price the Republican outcome accordingly while assigning the Democratic side a meaningful but secondary probability tied to the open-seat dynamics and any late-cycle shifts in voter sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$54,895End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina’s 1st congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+6 and has favored Republican candidates by double-digit margins in recent presidential and House contests, establishing the primary structural advantage reflected in the 70.5% Republican consensus. The seat became open after incumbent Nancy Mace pursued the 2026 gubernatorial nomination, leading to June primaries and runoffs that produced Republican nominee Jenny Costa Honeycutt, a Charleston County councilwoman, and Democratic nominee Nancy Lacore, a retired Navy admiral. Recent polling shows a competitive general-election matchup in head-to-head tests, yet broader forecasting models continue to rate the race Likely Republican based on the district’s partisan baseline and historical turnout patterns. Traders price the Republican outcome accordingly while assigning the Democratic side a meaningful but secondary probability tied to the open-seat dynamics and any late-cycle shifts in voter sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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