South Carolina’s 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with nonpartisan forecasters rating it Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Incumbent Joe Wilson secured his party’s nomination in the June 9 primary with 74 percent of the vote, facing only token opposition. Zyon Khalifa emerged as the Democratic nominee after winning a June 23 runoff, yet the district’s partisan voter index and historical margins continue to favor the Republican nominee. Trader consensus prices reflect these structural factors, with limited recent developments—such as candidate fundraising or local polling—altering the outlook in the final weeks before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSC-02 House Election Winner
SC-02 House Election Winner
$38,784 Vol.
$38,784 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
89%
Democratic Party
10%
$38,784 Vol.
$38,784 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$14,307 Vol.
89%
Democratic Party
$24,476 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina’s 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with nonpartisan forecasters rating it Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Incumbent Joe Wilson secured his party’s nomination in the June 9 primary with 74 percent of the vote, facing only token opposition. Zyon Khalifa emerged as the Democratic nominee after winning a June 23 runoff, yet the district’s partisan voter index and historical margins continue to favor the Republican nominee. Trader consensus prices reflect these structural factors, with limited recent developments—such as candidate fundraising or local polling—altering the outlook in the final weeks before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$38,784End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina’s 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with nonpartisan forecasters rating it Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Incumbent Joe Wilson secured his party’s nomination in the June 9 primary with 74 percent of the vote, facing only token opposition. Zyon Khalifa emerged as the Democratic nominee after winning a June 23 runoff, yet the district’s partisan voter index and historical margins continue to favor the Republican nominee. Trader consensus prices reflect these structural factors, with limited recent developments—such as candidate fundraising or local polling—altering the outlook in the final weeks before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$38,784End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina’s 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with nonpartisan forecasters rating it Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Incumbent Joe Wilson secured his party’s nomination in the June 9 primary with 74 percent of the vote, facing only token opposition. Zyon Khalifa emerged as the Democratic nominee after winning a June 23 runoff, yet the district’s partisan voter index and historical margins continue to favor the Republican nominee. Trader consensus prices reflect these structural factors, with limited recent developments—such as candidate fundraising or local polling—altering the outlook in the final weeks before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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