Incumbent Republican Tim Burchett secured the party's nomination unopposed in the August 6 primary for Tennessee's 2nd congressional district, which carries an R+17 partisan voter index and is rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters. The eastern Tennessee seat anchored by Knoxville has consistently delivered large GOP margins in recent cycles, including Burchett's 69% share in 2024. Democratic nominee Michaela Barnett and two independents face structural barriers in a district where Republican registration and voting patterns dominate. The 95% trader consensus on a Republican win aligns with this entrenched advantage, though late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, candidate health issue, or sharp national turnout swing could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTN-02 House Election Winner
TN-02 House Election Winner
$33,293 Vol.
$33,293 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$33,293 Vol.
$33,293 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$20,049 Vol.
95%
Democratic Party
$13,244 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tim Burchett secured the party's nomination unopposed in the August 6 primary for Tennessee's 2nd congressional district, which carries an R+17 partisan voter index and is rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters. The eastern Tennessee seat anchored by Knoxville has consistently delivered large GOP margins in recent cycles, including Burchett's 69% share in 2024. Democratic nominee Michaela Barnett and two independents face structural barriers in a district where Republican registration and voting patterns dominate. The 95% trader consensus on a Republican win aligns with this entrenched advantage, though late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, candidate health issue, or sharp national turnout swing could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$33,293End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tim Burchett secured the party's nomination unopposed in the August 6 primary for Tennessee's 2nd congressional district, which carries an R+17 partisan voter index and is rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters. The eastern Tennessee seat anchored by Knoxville has consistently delivered large GOP margins in recent cycles, including Burchett's 69% share in 2024. Democratic nominee Michaela Barnett and two independents face structural barriers in a district where Republican registration and voting patterns dominate. The 95% trader consensus on a Republican win aligns with this entrenched advantage, though late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, candidate health issue, or sharp national turnout swing could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$33,293End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tim Burchett secured the party's nomination unopposed in the August 6 primary for Tennessee's 2nd congressional district, which carries an R+17 partisan voter index and is rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters. The eastern Tennessee seat anchored by Knoxville has consistently delivered large GOP margins in recent cycles, including Burchett's 69% share in 2024. Democratic nominee Michaela Barnett and two independents face structural barriers in a district where Republican registration and voting patterns dominate. The 95% trader consensus on a Republican win aligns with this entrenched advantage, though late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, candidate health issue, or sharp national turnout swing could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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