Incumbent Republican David Kustoff faces Democratic nominee Heidi Kuhn and several independents in the November 3 general election for Tennessee's 8th congressional district. The seat's strong Republican tilt, rated Solid or Safe R by major forecasters, stems from its Partisan Voter Index and 2026 redistricting that concentrated more conservative voters in West Tennessee, including suburban Memphis areas and rural counties. Kustoff won his August 6 primary unopposed after years in office, while Kuhn prevailed in a low-turnout Democratic contest. Trader consensus at 92.5% for a Republican victory aligns with the district's consistent GOP margins in recent cycles and the absence of competitive challengers. A major scandal, health event, or dramatic national swing could theoretically alter the outcome, though such shifts remain unlikely given current structural factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTN-08 House Election Winner
TN-08 House Election Winner
$30,940 Vol.
$30,940 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
6%
$30,940 Vol.
$30,940 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$18,392 Vol.
93%
Democratic Party
$12,549 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Kustoff faces Democratic nominee Heidi Kuhn and several independents in the November 3 general election for Tennessee's 8th congressional district. The seat's strong Republican tilt, rated Solid or Safe R by major forecasters, stems from its Partisan Voter Index and 2026 redistricting that concentrated more conservative voters in West Tennessee, including suburban Memphis areas and rural counties. Kustoff won his August 6 primary unopposed after years in office, while Kuhn prevailed in a low-turnout Democratic contest. Trader consensus at 92.5% for a Republican victory aligns with the district's consistent GOP margins in recent cycles and the absence of competitive challengers. A major scandal, health event, or dramatic national swing could theoretically alter the outcome, though such shifts remain unlikely given current structural factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$30,940End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Kustoff faces Democratic nominee Heidi Kuhn and several independents in the November 3 general election for Tennessee's 8th congressional district. The seat's strong Republican tilt, rated Solid or Safe R by major forecasters, stems from its Partisan Voter Index and 2026 redistricting that concentrated more conservative voters in West Tennessee, including suburban Memphis areas and rural counties. Kustoff won his August 6 primary unopposed after years in office, while Kuhn prevailed in a low-turnout Democratic contest. Trader consensus at 92.5% for a Republican victory aligns with the district's consistent GOP margins in recent cycles and the absence of competitive challengers. A major scandal, health event, or dramatic national swing could theoretically alter the outcome, though such shifts remain unlikely given current structural factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$30,940End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican David Kustoff faces Democratic nominee Heidi Kuhn and several independents in the November 3 general election for Tennessee's 8th congressional district. The seat's strong Republican tilt, rated Solid or Safe R by major forecasters, stems from its Partisan Voter Index and 2026 redistricting that concentrated more conservative voters in West Tennessee, including suburban Memphis areas and rural counties. Kustoff won his August 6 primary unopposed after years in office, while Kuhn prevailed in a low-turnout Democratic contest. Trader consensus at 92.5% for a Republican victory aligns with the district's consistent GOP margins in recent cycles and the absence of competitive challengers. A major scandal, health event, or dramatic national swing could theoretically alter the outcome, though such shifts remain unlikely given current structural factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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