Republican incumbent Matt Van Epps secured the TN-07 nomination unopposed in the August 2026 primary after winning a December 2025 special election with 53.9% against Democrat Aftyn Behn. Democrat Darden Copeland advanced from a contested primary to face Van Epps in the November 3 general election alongside minor independent candidates. The district carries an R+11 partisan lean, consistent with its performance in recent cycles, and major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. These structural factors, combined with the incumbent's established position and the absence of competitive primary challenges on the Republican side, underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican victory while leaving limited room for shifts from turnout or late developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTN-07 House Election Winner
TN-07 House Election Winner
$17,591 Vol.
$17,591 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
90%
Democratic Party
10%
$17,591 Vol.
$17,591 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$12,817 Vol.
90%
Democratic Party
$4,774 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Matt Van Epps secured the TN-07 nomination unopposed in the August 2026 primary after winning a December 2025 special election with 53.9% against Democrat Aftyn Behn. Democrat Darden Copeland advanced from a contested primary to face Van Epps in the November 3 general election alongside minor independent candidates. The district carries an R+11 partisan lean, consistent with its performance in recent cycles, and major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. These structural factors, combined with the incumbent's established position and the absence of competitive primary challenges on the Republican side, underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican victory while leaving limited room for shifts from turnout or late developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$17,591End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Matt Van Epps secured the TN-07 nomination unopposed in the August 2026 primary after winning a December 2025 special election with 53.9% against Democrat Aftyn Behn. Democrat Darden Copeland advanced from a contested primary to face Van Epps in the November 3 general election alongside minor independent candidates. The district carries an R+11 partisan lean, consistent with its performance in recent cycles, and major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. These structural factors, combined with the incumbent's established position and the absence of competitive primary challenges on the Republican side, underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican victory while leaving limited room for shifts from turnout or late developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,591End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Matt Van Epps secured the TN-07 nomination unopposed in the August 2026 primary after winning a December 2025 special election with 53.9% against Democrat Aftyn Behn. Democrat Darden Copeland advanced from a contested primary to face Van Epps in the November 3 general election alongside minor independent candidates. The district carries an R+11 partisan lean, consistent with its performance in recent cycles, and major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. These structural factors, combined with the incumbent's established position and the absence of competitive primary challenges on the Republican side, underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican victory while leaving limited room for shifts from turnout or late developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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