Recent polling averages from firms including Novus, Demoskop, Indikator Opinion, and Ipsos place the Social Democrats first at roughly 29 percent, the Sweden Democrats second near 20 percent, and the Moderate Party third at about 17 percent, with all other parties well behind. This ordering has held steady across surveys through late August and early September despite a narrowing gap between the centre-left and right-leaning blocs. The Moderate Party’s consistent third-place standing in vote-share projections underpins trader consensus on its elevated probability for that outcome in the September 13 election, while limited movement in the Sweden Democrats’ numbers leaves room for a narrower chance of a shift in ranking. Smaller parties remain far from contention for third.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Moderate Party (M) 80%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 20%
Left Party (V) <1%
Centre Party (C) <1%
$69,675 Vol.
$69,675 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
20%
Moderate Party (M)
80%
Centre Party (C)
1%
Left Party (V)
1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%
Green Party (MP)
<1%
Liberals (L)
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Moderate Party (M) 80%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 20%
Left Party (V) <1%
Centre Party (C) <1%
$69,675 Vol.
$69,675 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$5,498 Vol.
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$12,689 Vol.
20%
Moderate Party (M)
$26,786 Vol.
80%
Centre Party (C)
$4,842 Vol.
1%
Left Party (V)
$6,104 Vol.
1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$2,569 Vol.
<1%
Green Party (MP)
$4,570 Vol.
<1%
Liberals (L)
$3,106 Vol.
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$3,511 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling averages from firms including Novus, Demoskop, Indikator Opinion, and Ipsos place the Social Democrats first at roughly 29 percent, the Sweden Democrats second near 20 percent, and the Moderate Party third at about 17 percent, with all other parties well behind. This ordering has held steady across surveys through late August and early September despite a narrowing gap between the centre-left and right-leaning blocs. The Moderate Party’s consistent third-place standing in vote-share projections underpins trader consensus on its elevated probability for that outcome in the September 13 election, while limited movement in the Sweden Democrats’ numbers leaves room for a narrower chance of a shift in ranking. Smaller parties remain far from contention for third.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Volume
$69,675End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling averages from firms including Novus, Demoskop, Indikator Opinion, and Ipsos place the Social Democrats first at roughly 29 percent, the Sweden Democrats second near 20 percent, and the Moderate Party third at about 17 percent, with all other parties well behind. This ordering has held steady across surveys through late August and early September despite a narrowing gap between the centre-left and right-leaning blocs. The Moderate Party’s consistent third-place standing in vote-share projections underpins trader consensus on its elevated probability for that outcome in the September 13 election, while limited movement in the Sweden Democrats’ numbers leaves room for a narrower chance of a shift in ranking. Smaller parties remain far from contention for third.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$69,675End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages from firms including Novus, Demoskop, Indikator Opinion, and Ipsos place the Social Democrats first at roughly 29 percent, the Sweden Democrats second near 20 percent, and the Moderate Party third at about 17 percent, with all other parties well behind. This ordering has held steady across surveys through late August and early September despite a narrowing gap between the centre-left and right-leaning blocs. The Moderate Party’s consistent third-place standing in vote-share projections underpins trader consensus on its elevated probability for that outcome in the September 13 election, while limited movement in the Sweden Democrats’ numbers leaves room for a narrower chance of a shift in ranking. Smaller parties remain far from contention for third.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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