United Russia enters the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma and 39 regional legislative elections with extensive institutional advantages, including full candidate slates, favorable ballot positioning in over half the regions, and procedures that limit opposition participation. The ruling party has secured majorities in nearly all regional assemblies in prior cycles through administrative resources and candidate selection. Recent developments include leadership restructuring, promotion of wartime participants as candidates, expanded electronic and multi-day voting, and the exclusion of parties such as Yabloko from the ballot. Putin’s direct engagement with party list heads two weeks before voting reinforces centralized coordination. These factors underpin trader consensus at 64% for United Russia receiving the most party-list votes in every region, though isolated shortfalls remain possible in areas with historically weaker control.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated64% chance
$317,879 Vol.
$317,879 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
64% chance
$317,879 Vol.
$317,879 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma and 39 regional legislative elections with extensive institutional advantages, including full candidate slates, favorable ballot positioning in over half the regions, and procedures that limit opposition participation. The ruling party has secured majorities in nearly all regional assemblies in prior cycles through administrative resources and candidate selection. Recent developments include leadership restructuring, promotion of wartime participants as candidates, expanded electronic and multi-day voting, and the exclusion of parties such as Yabloko from the ballot. Putin’s direct engagement with party list heads two weeks before voting reinforces centralized coordination. These factors underpin trader consensus at 64% for United Russia receiving the most party-list votes in every region, though isolated shortfalls remain possible in areas with historically weaker control.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ET
Volume
$317,879End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma and 39 regional legislative elections with extensive institutional advantages, including full candidate slates, favorable ballot positioning in over half the regions, and procedures that limit opposition participation. The ruling party has secured majorities in nearly all regional assemblies in prior cycles through administrative resources and candidate selection. Recent developments include leadership restructuring, promotion of wartime participants as candidates, expanded electronic and multi-day voting, and the exclusion of parties such as Yabloko from the ballot. Putin’s direct engagement with party list heads two weeks before voting reinforces centralized coordination. These factors underpin trader consensus at 64% for United Russia receiving the most party-list votes in every region, though isolated shortfalls remain possible in areas with historically weaker control.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$317,879End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...United Russia enters the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma and 39 regional legislative elections with extensive institutional advantages, including full candidate slates, favorable ballot positioning in over half the regions, and procedures that limit opposition participation. The ruling party has secured majorities in nearly all regional assemblies in prior cycles through administrative resources and candidate selection. Recent developments include leadership restructuring, promotion of wartime participants as candidates, expanded electronic and multi-day voting, and the exclusion of parties such as Yabloko from the ballot. Putin’s direct engagement with party list heads two weeks before voting reinforces centralized coordination. These factors underpin trader consensus at 64% for United Russia receiving the most party-list votes in every region, though isolated shortfalls remain possible in areas with historically weaker control.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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