The September 2026 Russian State Duma election, set for 18–20 September under a mixed system of nationwide party-list proportional representation (5% threshold) and single-member districts, occurs in a tightly controlled environment. United Russia holds a commanding position as the ruling party aligned with the Kremlin, while recent June polling from WCIOM and FOM showed it well ahead, followed by LDPR, CPRF, New People, and A Just Russia—parties positioned near or above the threshold. Yabloko’s candidate list was removed by Supreme Court ruling in August after initial registration, further limiting options. Eleven parties submitted lists, though new entrants without signature exemptions did not participate, and the campaign emphasizes managed competition amid the Ukraine conflict. Single-member districts and administrative factors will influence final seat allocations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
98%

Rodina
82%

Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice
7%

Russian Ecological Party “The Greens”
7%
$3,768 Vol.

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
98%

Rodina
82%

Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice
7%

Russian Ecological Party “The Greens”
7%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”.
These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”.
These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The September 2026 Russian State Duma election, set for 18–20 September under a mixed system of nationwide party-list proportional representation (5% threshold) and single-member districts, occurs in a tightly controlled environment. United Russia holds a commanding position as the ruling party aligned with the Kremlin, while recent June polling from WCIOM and FOM showed it well ahead, followed by LDPR, CPRF, New People, and A Just Russia—parties positioned near or above the threshold. Yabloko’s candidate list was removed by Supreme Court ruling in August after initial registration, further limiting options. Eleven parties submitted lists, though new entrants without signature exemptions did not participate, and the campaign emphasizes managed competition amid the Ukraine conflict. Single-member districts and administrative factors will influence final seat allocations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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