The competitive multi-party contest for the October 5 Quebec general election, featuring a tight race among the Parti Québécois, Coalition Avenir Québec, Liberals, Conservatives, and Québec solidaire, is sustaining voter engagement and supporting market pricing clustered around 62-74% turnout. High numbers of undecided voters, ongoing debates over sovereignty, cost of living, language protection, and healthcare, plus a new electoral map with 127 ridings, are key variables. Roughly 325,000 newly eligible young voters, expanded advance polling options, and party mobilization efforts add further uncertainty. Historical precedent from the 2022 election at 66% provides a baseline, while low youth participation patterns and fluid polling averages keep the distribution of probabilities relatively tight across adjacent turnout brackets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated66-70% 27%
70-74% 26%
62-66% 22%
58-62% 15%
NEW
NEW
Oct 5, 2026
<58%
10%
58-62%
11%
62-66%
22%
66-70%
27%
70-74%
22%
74%+
14%
66-70% 27%
70-74% 26%
62-66% 22%
58-62% 15%
NEW
NEW
Oct 5, 2026
<58%
$336 Vol.
10%
58-62%
$57 Vol.
11%
62-66%
$48 Vol.
22%
66-70%
$94 Vol.
27%
70-74%
$48 Vol.
22%
74%+
$191 Vol.
14%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The competitive multi-party contest for the October 5 Quebec general election, featuring a tight race among the Parti Québécois, Coalition Avenir Québec, Liberals, Conservatives, and Québec solidaire, is sustaining voter engagement and supporting market pricing clustered around 62-74% turnout. High numbers of undecided voters, ongoing debates over sovereignty, cost of living, language protection, and healthcare, plus a new electoral map with 127 ridings, are key variables. Roughly 325,000 newly eligible young voters, expanded advance polling options, and party mobilization efforts add further uncertainty. Historical precedent from the 2022 election at 66% provides a baseline, while low youth participation patterns and fluid polling averages keep the distribution of probabilities relatively tight across adjacent turnout brackets.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ET
Volume
$774End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The competitive multi-party contest for the October 5 Quebec general election, featuring a tight race among the Parti Québécois, Coalition Avenir Québec, Liberals, Conservatives, and Québec solidaire, is sustaining voter engagement and supporting market pricing clustered around 62-74% turnout. High numbers of undecided voters, ongoing debates over sovereignty, cost of living, language protection, and healthcare, plus a new electoral map with 127 ridings, are key variables. Roughly 325,000 newly eligible young voters, expanded advance polling options, and party mobilization efforts add further uncertainty. Historical precedent from the 2022 election at 66% provides a baseline, while low youth participation patterns and fluid polling averages keep the distribution of probabilities relatively tight across adjacent turnout brackets.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$774End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x69c47De9D...The competitive multi-party contest for the October 5 Quebec general election, featuring a tight race among the Parti Québécois, Coalition Avenir Québec, Liberals, Conservatives, and Québec solidaire, is sustaining voter engagement and supporting market pricing clustered around 62-74% turnout. High numbers of undecided voters, ongoing debates over sovereignty, cost of living, language protection, and healthcare, plus a new electoral map with 127 ridings, are key variables. Roughly 325,000 newly eligible young voters, expanded advance polling options, and party mobilization efforts add further uncertainty. Historical precedent from the 2022 election at 66% provides a baseline, while low youth participation patterns and fluid polling averages keep the distribution of probabilities relatively tight across adjacent turnout brackets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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