Recent polls from late August and early September show the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead around 29 percent, with the Coalition Avenir Québec advancing into second at 24 percent after gains of several points, primarily at the expense of the Quebec Liberal Party now at 22 percent. The CAQ under new Premier Christine Fréchette has improved in suburban and regional ridings while the Liberals under Charles Milliard have weakened outside Montreal. Upcoming debates in September and voter firmness data, with over 40 percent of decided voters still open to switching, keep the contest for second fluid. These shifts align with trader pricing favoring the CAQ for second place ahead of the PLQ, as seat projections highlight tight PQ-CAQ battles that could determine opposition status.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCAQ 48%
PLQ 35%
PQ 19%
PVQ <1%
$10,571 Vol.
$10,571 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
CAQ
48%
PLQ
35%
PQ
19%
PVQ
1%
QS
<1%
PCQ
<1%
CAQ 48%
PLQ 35%
PQ 19%
PVQ <1%
$10,571 Vol.
$10,571 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
CAQ
$2,062 Vol.
48%
PLQ
$4,135 Vol.
35%
PQ
$1,294 Vol.
19%
PVQ
$1,027 Vol.
1%
QS
$1,324 Vol.
<1%
PCQ
$729 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls from late August and early September show the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead around 29 percent, with the Coalition Avenir Québec advancing into second at 24 percent after gains of several points, primarily at the expense of the Quebec Liberal Party now at 22 percent. The CAQ under new Premier Christine Fréchette has improved in suburban and regional ridings while the Liberals under Charles Milliard have weakened outside Montreal. Upcoming debates in September and voter firmness data, with over 40 percent of decided voters still open to switching, keep the contest for second fluid. These shifts align with trader pricing favoring the CAQ for second place ahead of the PLQ, as seat projections highlight tight PQ-CAQ battles that could determine opposition status.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Volume
$10,571End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls from late August and early September show the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead around 29 percent, with the Coalition Avenir Québec advancing into second at 24 percent after gains of several points, primarily at the expense of the Quebec Liberal Party now at 22 percent. The CAQ under new Premier Christine Fréchette has improved in suburban and regional ridings while the Liberals under Charles Milliard have weakened outside Montreal. Upcoming debates in September and voter firmness data, with over 40 percent of decided voters still open to switching, keep the contest for second fluid. These shifts align with trader pricing favoring the CAQ for second place ahead of the PLQ, as seat projections highlight tight PQ-CAQ battles that could determine opposition status.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$10,571End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from late August and early September show the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead around 29 percent, with the Coalition Avenir Québec advancing into second at 24 percent after gains of several points, primarily at the expense of the Quebec Liberal Party now at 22 percent. The CAQ under new Premier Christine Fréchette has improved in suburban and regional ridings while the Liberals under Charles Milliard have weakened outside Montreal. Upcoming debates in September and voter firmness data, with over 40 percent of decided voters still open to switching, keep the contest for second fluid. These shifts align with trader pricing favoring the CAQ for second place ahead of the PLQ, as seat projections highlight tight PQ-CAQ battles that could determine opposition status.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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