Recent polling during the ongoing Quebec election campaign shows the Parti Québécois leading popular vote intentions at around 28-30 percent, followed by the Coalition Avenir Québec at 24-27 percent, with the Parti Libéral du Québec at 20-22 percent. Seat projections from aggregators indicate the PQ and CAQ remain the main contenders for first and second, leaving the PLQ positioned to secure the third-highest seat total as official opposition. The Parti Conservateur du Québec and Québec Solidaire trail further back in both vote and seat estimates. The campaign, launched in late August, has featured gains for the CAQ at the PLQ's expense amid debates over health care, affordability, and sovereignty timing, reinforcing trader consensus around these placement probabilities ahead of the October 5 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPLQ 66%
CAQ 19%
PCQ 3.6%
PQ 2.2%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
PLQ
66%
CAQ
19%
PCQ
4%
PQ
2%
QS
2%
PVQ
<1%
PLQ 66%
CAQ 19%
PCQ 3.6%
PQ 2.2%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
PLQ
$2,437 Vol.
66%
CAQ
$2,768 Vol.
19%
PCQ
$1,095 Vol.
4%
PQ
$1,191 Vol.
2%
QS
$1,148 Vol.
2%
PVQ
$597 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling during the ongoing Quebec election campaign shows the Parti Québécois leading popular vote intentions at around 28-30 percent, followed by the Coalition Avenir Québec at 24-27 percent, with the Parti Libéral du Québec at 20-22 percent. Seat projections from aggregators indicate the PQ and CAQ remain the main contenders for first and second, leaving the PLQ positioned to secure the third-highest seat total as official opposition. The Parti Conservateur du Québec and Québec Solidaire trail further back in both vote and seat estimates. The campaign, launched in late August, has featured gains for the CAQ at the PLQ's expense amid debates over health care, affordability, and sovereignty timing, reinforcing trader consensus around these placement probabilities ahead of the October 5 vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Volume
$9,237End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling during the ongoing Quebec election campaign shows the Parti Québécois leading popular vote intentions at around 28-30 percent, followed by the Coalition Avenir Québec at 24-27 percent, with the Parti Libéral du Québec at 20-22 percent. Seat projections from aggregators indicate the PQ and CAQ remain the main contenders for first and second, leaving the PLQ positioned to secure the third-highest seat total as official opposition. The Parti Conservateur du Québec and Québec Solidaire trail further back in both vote and seat estimates. The campaign, launched in late August, has featured gains for the CAQ at the PLQ's expense amid debates over health care, affordability, and sovereignty timing, reinforcing trader consensus around these placement probabilities ahead of the October 5 vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$9,237End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling during the ongoing Quebec election campaign shows the Parti Québécois leading popular vote intentions at around 28-30 percent, followed by the Coalition Avenir Québec at 24-27 percent, with the Parti Libéral du Québec at 20-22 percent. Seat projections from aggregators indicate the PQ and CAQ remain the main contenders for first and second, leaving the PLQ positioned to secure the third-highest seat total as official opposition. The Parti Conservateur du Québec and Québec Solidaire trail further back in both vote and seat estimates. The campaign, launched in late August, has featured gains for the CAQ at the PLQ's expense amid debates over health care, affordability, and sovereignty timing, reinforcing trader consensus around these placement probabilities ahead of the October 5 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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