**Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo resigned to run for the Senate, holds a commanding lead in the Paraíba gubernatorial race.** Recent polling from late August and early September shows him at 42.4% in the first round, ahead of Efraim Filho (PL) at 30.9% and Cícero Lucena (MDB) at 19.8%, with all others under 1%. His broad coalition support, including parties such as PP, União, Republicanos, PSB, and elements of the left, combined with his family political ties and ongoing administrative actions like hospital expansions, underpins the market's assessment of his strong position ahead of the October 4 first round. Other registered candidates face significant structural and polling disadvantages.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLucas Ribeiro 86%
Cícero Lucena 7%
Efraim Filho 6%
Flávio Lúcio <1%
$60,655 Vol.
$60,655 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lucas Ribeiro
86%
Cícero Lucena
7%
Efraim Filho
6%
Flávio Lúcio
1%
Nilvan Ferreira
1%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
1%
Romero Rodrigues
<1%
Marcelo Queiroga
<1%
Lucas Ribeiro 86%
Cícero Lucena 7%
Efraim Filho 6%
Flávio Lúcio <1%
$60,655 Vol.
$60,655 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lucas Ribeiro
$18,034 Vol.
86%
Cícero Lucena
$20,348 Vol.
7%
Efraim Filho
$13,360 Vol.
6%
Flávio Lúcio
$843 Vol.
1%
Nilvan Ferreira
$861 Vol.
1%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
$2,398 Vol.
1%
Romero Rodrigues
$1,471 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Queiroga
$3,341 Vol.
<1%
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo resigned to run for the Senate, holds a commanding lead in the Paraíba gubernatorial race.** Recent polling from late August and early September shows him at 42.4% in the first round, ahead of Efraim Filho (PL) at 30.9% and Cícero Lucena (MDB) at 19.8%, with all others under 1%. His broad coalition support, including parties such as PP, União, Republicanos, PSB, and elements of the left, combined with his family political ties and ongoing administrative actions like hospital expansions, underpins the market's assessment of his strong position ahead of the October 4 first round. Other registered candidates face significant structural and polling disadvantages.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET
Volume
$60,655End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo resigned to run for the Senate, holds a commanding lead in the Paraíba gubernatorial race.** Recent polling from late August and early September shows him at 42.4% in the first round, ahead of Efraim Filho (PL) at 30.9% and Cícero Lucena (MDB) at 19.8%, with all others under 1%. His broad coalition support, including parties such as PP, União, Republicanos, PSB, and elements of the left, combined with his family political ties and ongoing administrative actions like hospital expansions, underpins the market's assessment of his strong position ahead of the October 4 first round. Other registered candidates face significant structural and polling disadvantages.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$60,655End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo resigned to run for the Senate, holds a commanding lead in the Paraíba gubernatorial race.** Recent polling from late August and early September shows him at 42.4% in the first round, ahead of Efraim Filho (PL) at 30.9% and Cícero Lucena (MDB) at 19.8%, with all others under 1%. His broad coalition support, including parties such as PP, União, Republicanos, PSB, and elements of the left, combined with his family political ties and ongoing administrative actions like hospital expansions, underpins the market's assessment of his strong position ahead of the October 4 first round. Other registered candidates face significant structural and polling disadvantages.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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