Recent polling for the Pará gubernatorial race shows a technical tie or narrow leads between incumbent Hana Ghassan (MDB) and challenger Dr. Daniel Santos (PODEMOS), with the pair consistently capturing the top two spots while other names remain in low single digits. Ghassan assumed the governorship in April 2026 after Helder Barbalho’s resignation to run for Senate, providing continuity with the prior administration amid roughly 25-30% undecided voters in late-August surveys. Santos, the former Ananindeua mayor, has capitalized on local recognition and appeals for change. High undecided shares, campaign momentum in the final weeks before the October 4 first round, and any late shifts in approval or turnout patterns among key regional blocs keep the outcome closely contested in trader assessments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPará Governor Election Winner
Pará Governor Election Winner
Hana Ghassan 55%
Dr. Daniel Santos 43%
Éder Mauro 1.7%
Zequinha Marinho 1.0%
$34,903 Vol.
$34,903 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Hana Ghassan
55%
Dr. Daniel Santos
43%
Éder Mauro
2%
Zequinha Marinho
1%
Dirceu Ten Caten
1%
Paulo Rocha
<1%
Rogério Barra
<1%
Hana Ghassan 55%
Dr. Daniel Santos 43%
Éder Mauro 1.7%
Zequinha Marinho 1.0%
$34,903 Vol.
$34,903 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Hana Ghassan
$14,953 Vol.
55%
Dr. Daniel Santos
$9,902 Vol.
43%
Éder Mauro
$3,977 Vol.
2%
Zequinha Marinho
$1,464 Vol.
1%
Dirceu Ten Caten
$1,504 Vol.
1%
Paulo Rocha
$1,543 Vol.
<1%
Rogério Barra
$1,561 Vol.
<1%
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling for the Pará gubernatorial race shows a technical tie or narrow leads between incumbent Hana Ghassan (MDB) and challenger Dr. Daniel Santos (PODEMOS), with the pair consistently capturing the top two spots while other names remain in low single digits. Ghassan assumed the governorship in April 2026 after Helder Barbalho’s resignation to run for Senate, providing continuity with the prior administration amid roughly 25-30% undecided voters in late-August surveys. Santos, the former Ananindeua mayor, has capitalized on local recognition and appeals for change. High undecided shares, campaign momentum in the final weeks before the October 4 first round, and any late shifts in approval or turnout patterns among key regional blocs keep the outcome closely contested in trader assessments.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
Volume
$34,903End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling for the Pará gubernatorial race shows a technical tie or narrow leads between incumbent Hana Ghassan (MDB) and challenger Dr. Daniel Santos (PODEMOS), with the pair consistently capturing the top two spots while other names remain in low single digits. Ghassan assumed the governorship in April 2026 after Helder Barbalho’s resignation to run for Senate, providing continuity with the prior administration amid roughly 25-30% undecided voters in late-August surveys. Santos, the former Ananindeua mayor, has capitalized on local recognition and appeals for change. High undecided shares, campaign momentum in the final weeks before the October 4 first round, and any late shifts in approval or turnout patterns among key regional blocs keep the outcome closely contested in trader assessments.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$34,903End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for the Pará gubernatorial race shows a technical tie or narrow leads between incumbent Hana Ghassan (MDB) and challenger Dr. Daniel Santos (PODEMOS), with the pair consistently capturing the top two spots while other names remain in low single digits. Ghassan assumed the governorship in April 2026 after Helder Barbalho’s resignation to run for Senate, providing continuity with the prior administration amid roughly 25-30% undecided voters in late-August surveys. Santos, the former Ananindeua mayor, has capitalized on local recognition and appeals for change. High undecided shares, campaign momentum in the final weeks before the October 4 first round, and any late shifts in approval or turnout patterns among key regional blocs keep the outcome closely contested in trader assessments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions