Recent polling during the Quebec election campaign, called for October 5, shows the Parti Conservateur du Québec holding steady near 15% province-wide support under Éric Duhaime, with particular strength in the Quebec City region where it often ties or leads. Seat projections from models like 338Canada place the party in the 6–16 range, centering near 11, as its vote concentrates in winnable ridings but faces competition from the CAQ and PQ in francophone areas. The fragmented electorate and regional variations in turnout and vote splitting keep outcomes fluid, with trader consensus clustering on 8–13 seats reflecting uncertainty over final efficiency and late shifts before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated8-10 30%
11-13 26%
5-7 16%
17+ 10.3%
NEW
NEW
Oct 5, 2026
<5
8%
5-7
16%
8-10
30%
11-13
26%
14-16
8%
17+
12%
8-10 30%
11-13 26%
5-7 16%
17+ 10.3%
NEW
NEW
Oct 5, 2026
<5
$1,915 Vol.
8%
5-7
$729 Vol.
16%
8-10
$1,119 Vol.
30%
11-13
$1,250 Vol.
26%
14-16
$909 Vol.
8%
17+
$901 Vol.
12%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling during the Quebec election campaign, called for October 5, shows the Parti Conservateur du Québec holding steady near 15% province-wide support under Éric Duhaime, with particular strength in the Quebec City region where it often ties or leads. Seat projections from models like 338Canada place the party in the 6–16 range, centering near 11, as its vote concentrates in winnable ridings but faces competition from the CAQ and PQ in francophone areas. The fragmented electorate and regional variations in turnout and vote splitting keep outcomes fluid, with trader consensus clustering on 8–13 seats reflecting uncertainty over final efficiency and late shifts before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ET
Volume
$6,822End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling during the Quebec election campaign, called for October 5, shows the Parti Conservateur du Québec holding steady near 15% province-wide support under Éric Duhaime, with particular strength in the Quebec City region where it often ties or leads. Seat projections from models like 338Canada place the party in the 6–16 range, centering near 11, as its vote concentrates in winnable ridings but faces competition from the CAQ and PQ in francophone areas. The fragmented electorate and regional variations in turnout and vote splitting keep outcomes fluid, with trader consensus clustering on 8–13 seats reflecting uncertainty over final efficiency and late shifts before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$6,822End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling during the Quebec election campaign, called for October 5, shows the Parti Conservateur du Québec holding steady near 15% province-wide support under Éric Duhaime, with particular strength in the Quebec City region where it often ties or leads. Seat projections from models like 338Canada place the party in the 6–16 range, centering near 11, as its vote concentrates in winnable ridings but faces competition from the CAQ and PQ in francophone areas. The fragmented electorate and regional variations in turnout and vote splitting keep outcomes fluid, with trader consensus clustering on 8–13 seats reflecting uncertainty over final efficiency and late shifts before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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