Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer secured his party's nomination in the August 11 primary with over 80 percent of the vote, advancing to face Democrat Doug Chapin in the November 3 general election for Minnesota's 6th congressional district. The seat's R+10 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including a double-digit margin for the party's presidential nominee in 2024, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Emmer's position as House majority whip and substantial fundraising advantage further reinforce this positioning ahead of the general election. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current fundamentals indicate limited room for such shifts to alter the result.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMN-06 House Election Winner
MN-06 House Election Winner
$41,350 Vol.
$41,350 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
10%
$41,350 Vol.
$41,350 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$23,338 Vol.
91%
Democratic Party
$18,012 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer secured his party's nomination in the August 11 primary with over 80 percent of the vote, advancing to face Democrat Doug Chapin in the November 3 general election for Minnesota's 6th congressional district. The seat's R+10 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including a double-digit margin for the party's presidential nominee in 2024, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Emmer's position as House majority whip and substantial fundraising advantage further reinforce this positioning ahead of the general election. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current fundamentals indicate limited room for such shifts to alter the result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$41,350End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer secured his party's nomination in the August 11 primary with over 80 percent of the vote, advancing to face Democrat Doug Chapin in the November 3 general election for Minnesota's 6th congressional district. The seat's R+10 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including a double-digit margin for the party's presidential nominee in 2024, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Emmer's position as House majority whip and substantial fundraising advantage further reinforce this positioning ahead of the general election. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current fundamentals indicate limited room for such shifts to alter the result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$41,350End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer secured his party's nomination in the August 11 primary with over 80 percent of the vote, advancing to face Democrat Doug Chapin in the November 3 general election for Minnesota's 6th congressional district. The seat's R+10 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including a double-digit margin for the party's presidential nominee in 2024, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Emmer's position as House majority whip and substantial fundraising advantage further reinforce this positioning ahead of the general election. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current fundamentals indicate limited room for such shifts to alter the result.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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