Minnesota's 5th Congressional District maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the country, reflected in its D+32 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit victories for the party nominee. Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary with over 80 percent of the vote against four challengers, while Republican John Nagel advanced from his primary. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the November 3 general election as Solid or Safe Democratic. The district's urban Minneapolis core, historical turnout patterns, and wide margins in prior cycles underpin trader consensus. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health issue, or unprecedented national partisan shift would be required to alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMN-05 House Election Winner
MN-05 House Election Winner
$48,663 Vol.
$48,663 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
1%
$48,663 Vol.
$48,663 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$18,221 Vol.
97%
Republican Party
$30,442 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th Congressional District maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the country, reflected in its D+32 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit victories for the party nominee. Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary with over 80 percent of the vote against four challengers, while Republican John Nagel advanced from his primary. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the November 3 general election as Solid or Safe Democratic. The district's urban Minneapolis core, historical turnout patterns, and wide margins in prior cycles underpin trader consensus. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health issue, or unprecedented national partisan shift would be required to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$48,663End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th Congressional District maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the country, reflected in its D+32 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit victories for the party nominee. Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary with over 80 percent of the vote against four challengers, while Republican John Nagel advanced from his primary. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the November 3 general election as Solid or Safe Democratic. The district's urban Minneapolis core, historical turnout patterns, and wide margins in prior cycles underpin trader consensus. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health issue, or unprecedented national partisan shift would be required to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$48,663End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 5th Congressional District maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the country, reflected in its D+32 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit victories for the party nominee. Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary with over 80 percent of the vote against four challengers, while Republican John Nagel advanced from his primary. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the November 3 general election as Solid or Safe Democratic. The district's urban Minneapolis core, historical turnout patterns, and wide margins in prior cycles underpin trader consensus. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health issue, or unprecedented national partisan shift would be required to alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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