**Persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and associated atmospheric cooling from an active weather system over northern Taiwan are positioning 22°C as the leading market outcome for Taipei’s minimum temperature on September 6.** Official forecasts from sources including the Central Weather Administration and global models indicate overnight lows near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions with high humidity and rain chances exceeding 70–90% through the night. These factors limit radiative cooling but also advect cooler maritime air, keeping the daily minimum suppressed relative to clearer September norms around 25°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 66% implied probability for 22°C incorporates the latest model runs showing slightly stronger cooling than earlier guidance, while the 39% odds on 20°C or below capture tail risks from heavier overnight showers. Higher thresholds above 24°C remain near 0%, consistent with the established wet pattern and absence of warming signals ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Taipei on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Taipei on September 6?
20°C or below 63%
25°C 1.0%
26°C 1.0%
27°C 1.0%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
20°C or below
63%
21°C
-
22°C
66%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
20°C or below 63%
25°C 1.0%
26°C 1.0%
27°C 1.0%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
63%
21°C
$12 Vol.
-
22°C
$91 Vol.
66%
23°C
$66 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$396 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$334 Vol.
1%
26°C
$274 Vol.
1%
27°C
$52 Vol.
1%
28°C
$50 Vol.
1%
29°C
$50 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$60 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and associated atmospheric cooling from an active weather system over northern Taiwan are positioning 22°C as the leading market outcome for Taipei’s minimum temperature on September 6.**
Official forecasts from sources including the Central Weather Administration and global models indicate overnight lows near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions with high humidity and rain chances exceeding 70–90% through the night. These factors limit radiative cooling but also advect cooler maritime air, keeping the daily minimum suppressed relative to clearer September norms around 25°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 66% implied probability for 22°C incorporates the latest model runs showing slightly stronger cooling than earlier guidance, while the 39% odds on 20°C or below capture tail risks from heavier overnight showers. Higher thresholds above 24°C remain near 0%, consistent with the established wet pattern and absence of warming signals ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,384End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and associated atmospheric cooling from an active weather system over northern Taiwan are positioning 22°C as the leading market outcome for Taipei’s minimum temperature on September 6.**
Official forecasts from sources including the Central Weather Administration and global models indicate overnight lows near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions with high humidity and rain chances exceeding 70–90% through the night. These factors limit radiative cooling but also advect cooler maritime air, keeping the daily minimum suppressed relative to clearer September norms around 25°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 66% implied probability for 22°C incorporates the latest model runs showing slightly stronger cooling than earlier guidance, while the 39% odds on 20°C or below capture tail risks from heavier overnight showers. Higher thresholds above 24°C remain near 0%, consistent with the established wet pattern and absence of warming signals ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,384End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and associated atmospheric cooling from an active weather system over northern Taiwan are positioning 22°C as the leading market outcome for Taipei’s minimum temperature on September 6.** Official forecasts from sources including the Central Weather Administration and global models indicate overnight lows near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions with high humidity and rain chances exceeding 70–90% through the night. These factors limit radiative cooling but also advect cooler maritime air, keeping the daily minimum suppressed relative to clearer September norms around 25°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 66% implied probability for 22°C incorporates the latest model runs showing slightly stronger cooling than earlier guidance, while the 39% odds on 20°C or below capture tail risks from heavier overnight showers. Higher thresholds above 24°C remain near 0%, consistent with the established wet pattern and absence of warming signals ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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