**Recent model consensus and the ongoing warm, humid pattern have kept trader focus tightly split between the 76-77°F and 78-79°F bins for Miami’s official low on September 6.** Overnight temperatures have held in the mid-to-upper 70s in early September, with recent daily lows at 75–78°F amid high humidity and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions with a chance of showers or thunderstorms, supporting a minimum near 77–79°F; lighter winds and any additional cloudiness could nudge the reading slightly lower, while clearer periods or a later storm would favor the higher side. Historical September 6 averages near 76–77°F provide context, but the current warm baseline and short-term forecast uncertainty explain the near-even market split between the two leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Miami on September 6?
76-77°F 45%
78-79°F 44%
74-75°F 8%
80-81°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
45%
78-79°F
44%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 45%
78-79°F 44%
74-75°F 8%
80-81°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
71°F or below
$10 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$88 Vol.
8%
76-77°F
$835 Vol.
45%
78-79°F
$76 Vol.
44%
80-81°F
$252 Vol.
7%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$10 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$10 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$22 Vol.
1%
90°F or higher
$22 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus and the ongoing warm, humid pattern have kept trader focus tightly split between the 76-77°F and 78-79°F bins for Miami’s official low on September 6.** Overnight temperatures have held in the mid-to-upper 70s in early September, with recent daily lows at 75–78°F amid high humidity and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions with a chance of showers or thunderstorms, supporting a minimum near 77–79°F; lighter winds and any additional cloudiness could nudge the reading slightly lower, while clearer periods or a later storm would favor the higher side. Historical September 6 averages near 76–77°F provide context, but the current warm baseline and short-term forecast uncertainty explain the near-even market split between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,324End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus and the ongoing warm, humid pattern have kept trader focus tightly split between the 76-77°F and 78-79°F bins for Miami’s official low on September 6.** Overnight temperatures have held in the mid-to-upper 70s in early September, with recent daily lows at 75–78°F amid high humidity and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions with a chance of showers or thunderstorms, supporting a minimum near 77–79°F; lighter winds and any additional cloudiness could nudge the reading slightly lower, while clearer periods or a later storm would favor the higher side. Historical September 6 averages near 76–77°F provide context, but the current warm baseline and short-term forecast uncertainty explain the near-even market split between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,324End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent model consensus and the ongoing warm, humid pattern have kept trader focus tightly split between the 76-77°F and 78-79°F bins for Miami’s official low on September 6.** Overnight temperatures have held in the mid-to-upper 70s in early September, with recent daily lows at 75–78°F amid high humidity and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions with a chance of showers or thunderstorms, supporting a minimum near 77–79°F; lighter winds and any additional cloudiness could nudge the reading slightly lower, while clearer periods or a later storm would favor the higher side. Historical September 6 averages near 76–77°F provide context, but the current warm baseline and short-term forecast uncertainty explain the near-even market split between the two leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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