Current forecast models from sources including the ECMWF and local meteorological services indicate a minimum temperature of 25–26°C for Chongqing on September 6, driven by persistent high pressure, light southerly winds, and clear to mostly clear conditions that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with the ongoing warm spell, where recent overnight lows have held near 24–27°C amid daytime highs exceeding 35°C. No significant cold-air advection or frontal passage is expected before the 7th, when increased cloud cover and precipitation begin to moderate temperatures. Historical September baselines average around 22°C for minima, but the current pattern supports the market's emphasis on the 25–26°C range as the most probable outcome pending the next model update cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on September 6?
21°C or below 50%
25°C 45%
24°C 10%
23°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
21°C or below
50%
22°C
5%
23°C
7%
24°C
10%
25°C
45%
26°C
62%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
21°C or below 50%
25°C 45%
24°C 10%
23°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
50%
22°C
$0 Vol.
5%
23°C
$0 Vol.
7%
24°C
$98 Vol.
10%
25°C
$0 Vol.
45%
26°C
$49 Vol.
62%
27°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$35 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the ECMWF and local meteorological services indicate a minimum temperature of 25–26°C for Chongqing on September 6, driven by persistent high pressure, light southerly winds, and clear to mostly clear conditions that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with the ongoing warm spell, where recent overnight lows have held near 24–27°C amid daytime highs exceeding 35°C. No significant cold-air advection or frontal passage is expected before the 7th, when increased cloud cover and precipitation begin to moderate temperatures. Historical September baselines average around 22°C for minima, but the current pattern supports the market's emphasis on the 25–26°C range as the most probable outcome pending the next model update cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$417End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the ECMWF and local meteorological services indicate a minimum temperature of 25–26°C for Chongqing on September 6, driven by persistent high pressure, light southerly winds, and clear to mostly clear conditions that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with the ongoing warm spell, where recent overnight lows have held near 24–27°C amid daytime highs exceeding 35°C. No significant cold-air advection or frontal passage is expected before the 7th, when increased cloud cover and precipitation begin to moderate temperatures. Historical September baselines average around 22°C for minima, but the current pattern supports the market's emphasis on the 25–26°C range as the most probable outcome pending the next model update cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$417End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the ECMWF and local meteorological services indicate a minimum temperature of 25–26°C for Chongqing on September 6, driven by persistent high pressure, light southerly winds, and clear to mostly clear conditions that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with the ongoing warm spell, where recent overnight lows have held near 24–27°C amid daytime highs exceeding 35°C. No significant cold-air advection or frontal passage is expected before the 7th, when increased cloud cover and precipitation begin to moderate temperatures. Historical September baselines average around 22°C for minima, but the current pattern supports the market's emphasis on the 25–26°C range as the most probable outcome pending the next model update cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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