Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a peak of around 36°C in Chongqing on September 6, 2026, under clear to mostly sunny skies with light southeast winds and low humidity. This aligns with late-summer subtropical conditions, where persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover allow strong solar heating without significant cooling from precipitation or frontal systems. Official monitoring shows recent daily highs stabilizing near 35–36°C, with model consensus supporting limited upside to 37°C absent unexpected moisture influx. Traders assign overwhelming probability to 36°C as the resolution threshold, reflecting the narrow range of expected outcomes and low likelihood of deviation based on current observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 6?
36°C 90%
37°C 11%
38°C <1%
31°C or below <1%
$21,855 Vol.
$21,855 Vol.
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
90%
37°C
11%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 90%
37°C 11%
38°C <1%
31°C or below <1%
$21,855 Vol.
$21,855 Vol.
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
90%
37°C
11%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a peak of around 36°C in Chongqing on September 6, 2026, under clear to mostly sunny skies with light southeast winds and low humidity. This aligns with late-summer subtropical conditions, where persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover allow strong solar heating without significant cooling from precipitation or frontal systems. Official monitoring shows recent daily highs stabilizing near 35–36°C, with model consensus supporting limited upside to 37°C absent unexpected moisture influx. Traders assign overwhelming probability to 36°C as the resolution threshold, reflecting the narrow range of expected outcomes and low likelihood of deviation based on current observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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